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Ligue 1 · Matchday 2

Recap: Olympique Lyonnais vs Le Havre AC

Saturday August 29, 2026 18:45 Match finished

Final score

1 1

Match over: Olympique Lyonnais - Le Havre AC. Our initial AI prediction had Olympique Lyonnais favored at 40.0%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming Ligue 1 matches.

Balanced fixture for Olympique Lyonnais - Le Havre AC on samedi août 29, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 40.0% home, 30.0% draw, 30.0% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.

For Olympique Lyonnais (1), hosting Le Havre AC (1) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Olympique Lyonnais a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 📊 Tight standings: Olympique Lyonnais (1th) and Le Havre AC (1th) within 0 pts
  • 🗓️ Matchday 2, Ligue 1

AI Predictor Forecast

Olympique Lyon wins
57.1%
Draw
27.2%
Le Havre wins
15.8%
Most likely score
1-0
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
48%
Expected goals (xG)
1.85 - 0.85

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Olympique Lyon (57.1%, Odds 1.85)

❌ Missed prediction

Losing bet.

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League standings

Olympique Lyonnais
4 (3 pts)
Le Havre AC
14 (0 pts)

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-03-15 Le Havre AC 0-0 Olympique LyonnaisLigue 1
2025-12-14 Olympique Lyonnais 1-0 Le Havre ACLigue 1
2025-03-16 Olympique Lyonnais 4-2 Le Havre ACLigue 1
2024-10-20 Le Havre AC 0-4 Olympique LyonnaisLigue 1
2024-01-14 Le Havre AC 3-1 Olympique LyonnaisLigue 1

Our analysis

Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (0 pts vs 0 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.40 vs 1.20). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited

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to asymmetric matches, returns a 40.0% probability of a Olympique Lyonnais win.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 40.0% / 30.0% / 30.0% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

Our verdict

Bottom line: our models converge on a Olympique Lyonnais win (40.0%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 55% Over 2.5 reading and the 50% BTTS — two markets to study.

Frequently asked questions

When is Olympique Lyonnais vs Le Havre AC played? +

The Olympique Lyonnais - Le Havre AC match is scheduled for samedi août 29, 2026 at 18:45 in the Ligue 1.

Who is the favorite between Olympique Lyonnais and Le Havre AC? +

Our AI Predictor picks Olympique Lyonnais as the favorite with a 40.0% win probability. Full odds: 40.0% for Olympique Lyon, 30.0% draw, 30.0% for Le Havre.

What is the most likely score for Olympique Lyonnais vs Le Havre AC? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.40 for Olympique Lyonnais and 1.20 for Le Havre AC.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this Olympique Lyonnais - Le Havre AC fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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