Ligue 1 · Matchday 3
Prediction: Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre
Saturday September 5, 2026 15:00
Balanced fixture for Olympique Lyonnais - AJ Auxerre on Saturday September 5, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 40.0% home, 30.0% draw, 30.0% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
For Olympique Lyonnais (1), hosting AJ Auxerre (1) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Olympique Lyonnais a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Olympique Lyonnais (1th) and AJ Auxerre (1th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 3, Ligue 1
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (0 pts vs 0 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.40 vs 1.20). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 40.0% probability of a Olympique Lyonnais win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 40.0% Olympique Lyon win, 30.0% draw, 30.0% Auxerre win.
Our verdict
In short, Olympique Lyonnais stands as our algorithm's favourite at 40.0%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (55%) and BTTS (50%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre played? +
The Olympique Lyonnais - AJ Auxerre match is scheduled for Saturday September 5, 2026 at 15:00 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Olympique Lyonnais and AJ Auxerre? +
Our AI Predictor picks Olympique Lyonnais as the favorite with a 40.0% win probability. Full odds: 40.0% for Olympique Lyon, 30.0% draw, 30.0% for Auxerre.
What is the most likely score for Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.40 for Olympique Lyonnais and 1.20 for AJ Auxerre.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this Olympique Lyonnais - AJ Auxerre fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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