Premier League · Matchday 36
Recap: Nottingham Forest FC vs Newcastle United FC
Sunday May 10, 2026 13:00 Match finished
Final score
1 – 1
Match verdict: Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Newcastle United FC. Talacote's AI Predictor had projected a 1-1 scoreline — post-match analysis below.
Nottingham Forest FC hosts Newcastle United FC this Sunday at 13:00 in the Premier League. According to our AI, Nottingham Forest FC approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
Nottingham Forest FC (16 in the Premier League, 42 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Newcastle United FC (13, 45 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Nottingham Forest FC (16th) and Newcastle United FC (13th) within 3 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 36, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Nottingham (43.7%, Odds 2.41)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
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Our analysis
The table gap between Nottingham Forest FC (16 place) and Newcastle United FC (13 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Nottingham Forest FC. Expected goals are 1.56 for Nottingham and 1.29 for Newcastle, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 43.7% / 24.8% / 31.5% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
Our verdict
In short, Nottingham Forest FC stands as our algorithm's favourite at 43.7%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (54%) and BTTS (57%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Nottingham Forest FC vs Newcastle United FC played? +
The Nottingham Forest FC - Newcastle United FC match is scheduled for Sunday May 10, 2026 at 13:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Nottingham Forest FC and Newcastle United FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Nottingham Forest FC as the favorite with a 43.7% win probability. Full odds: 43.7% for Nottingham, 24.8% draw, 31.5% for Newcastle.
What is the most likely score for Nottingham Forest FC vs Newcastle United FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.56 for Nottingham Forest FC and 1.29 for Newcastle United FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 54% for this Nottingham Forest FC - Newcastle United FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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