Premier League · Matchday 1
Recap: Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC
Saturday August 22, 2026 14:00 Match finished
Final score
0 – 1
The Nottingham Forest FC - Leeds United FC match ended -. Our AI prediction gave 41.7% for a Nottingham win, 30.0% for a draw, and 28.2% for Leeds United.
Balanced fixture for Nottingham Forest FC - Leeds United FC on samedi août 22, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 41.7% home, 30.0% draw, 28.2% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
For Nottingham Forest FC (16), hosting Leeds United FC (14) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Nottingham Forest FC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Nottingham Forest FC (16th) and Leeds United FC (14th) within 3 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 1, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Nottingham (41.2%, Odds 2.55)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
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⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Leeds United FC 3-1 Nottingham Forest FC | Premier League |
| 2025-11-09 | Nottingham Forest FC 3-1 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
| 2023-04-04 | Leeds United FC 2-1 Nottingham Forest FC | Premier League |
| 2023-02-05 | Nottingham Forest FC 1-0 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
| 2020-02-08 | Nottingham Forest FC 2-0 Leeds United FC | Championship |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (44 pts vs 47 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.57 vs 1.25). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suite
d to asymmetric matches, returns a 41.7% probability of a Nottingham Forest FC win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 41.7% Nottingham win, 30.0% draw, 28.2% Leeds United win.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Nottingham Forest FC (41.7% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 53%, BTTS at 56%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC played? +
The Nottingham Forest FC - Leeds United FC match is scheduled for samedi août 22, 2026 at 14:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Nottingham Forest FC and Leeds United FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Nottingham Forest FC as the favorite with a 41.7% win probability. Full odds: 41.7% for Nottingham, 30.0% draw, 28.2% for Leeds United.
What is the most likely score for Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.57 for Nottingham Forest FC and 1.25 for Leeds United FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 53% for this Nottingham Forest FC - Leeds United FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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