FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2
Recap: Norway vs Senegal
Tuesday June 23, 2026 00:00 Match finished
Final score
3 – 2
Final score Norway 3-2 Senegal. The AI Predictor had projected 1-1, with Over 2.5 at 46% and BTTS at 51%. Post-match analysis and AI lessons below.
Balanced fixture for Norway - Senegal on mardi juin 23, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 29.8% home, 32.3% draw, 37.8% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
Norway (1 in the FIFA World Cup, 3 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Senegal (3, 0 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Norway: Erling Haaland (7)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Senegal: Ismaïla Sarr (4)
- 📊 Tight standings: Norway (1th) and Senegal (3th) within 3 pts
- ⚽ Norway scores heavily: 2.4 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Norway's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Norway's recent matches
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Senegal (37.8%, Odds 2.78)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
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Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Norway
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-16
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-26
- 2026-06-30
- 2026-07-05
⚽ Top scorer : Erling Haaland (7)
Recent record for Norway: 4W-0D-1L over the last 6 matches. 2.40 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.80 conceded. BTTS observed at 100%, Over 2.5 at 100%.
Senegal
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-16
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-26
- 2026-07-01
⚽ Top scorer : Ismaïla Sarr (4)
Recent record for Senegal: 1W-0D-3L over the last 6 matches. 2.50 goal(s) scored on average vs 2.25 conceded. BTTS observed at 75%, Over 2.5 at 100%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Norway 3-2 Senegal | FIFA World Cup |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (3 pts vs 0 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.16 vs 1.34). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 29.8% probability of a Norway win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 29.8% Norway win, 32.3% draw, 37.8% Senegal win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Norway sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 3 pts.
- ▸ Senegal is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 0 pts).
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Norway's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Senegal's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Norway's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 75% of Senegal's recent matches.
- ▸ Norway relies on Erling Haaland (7) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Senegal has a 37.8% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (51%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Norway vs Senegal played? +
The Norway - Senegal match is scheduled for mardi juin 23, 2026 at 00:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Norway and Senegal? +
Our AI Predictor picks Senegal as the favorite with a 37.8% win probability. Full odds: 29.8% for Norway, 32.3% draw, 37.8% for Senegal.
What is the most likely score for Norway vs Senegal? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.16 for Norway and 1.34 for Senegal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Norway - Senegal fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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