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Premier League · Matchday 37

Prediction: Newcastle United FC vs West Ham United FC

Sunday May 17, 2026 16:30

Full AI analysis of Newcastle United FC vs West Ham United FC, scheduled for Sunday May 17, 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.

For Newcastle United FC (13), hosting West Ham United FC (18) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Newcastle United FC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 🗓️ Matchday 37, Premier League

AI Predictor Forecast

Newcastle wins
50.2%
Draw
23.3%
West Ham wins
26.6%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
59%
Expected goals (xG)
1.79 - 1.24

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League standings

Newcastle United FC
13 (46 pts)
West Ham United FC
18 (36 pts)

Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. Newcastle United FC (form: –) meets West Ham United FC (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals proba

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bility of 58% and a BTTS of 59% — interesting markets for value bettors.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 50.2% / 23.3% / 26.6% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: Newcastle United FC has a 50.2% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (58%) and BTTS (59%) probabilities suggest an open match.

Frequently asked questions

When is Newcastle United FC vs West Ham United FC played? +

The Newcastle United FC - West Ham United FC match is scheduled for Sunday May 17, 2026 at 16:30 in the Premier League.

Who is the favorite between Newcastle United FC and West Ham United FC? +

Our AI Predictor picks Newcastle United FC as the favorite with a 50.2% win probability. Full odds: 50.2% for Newcastle, 23.3% draw, 26.6% for West Ham.

What is the most likely score for Newcastle United FC vs West Ham United FC? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.79 for Newcastle United FC and 1.24 for West Ham United FC.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 58% for this Newcastle United FC - West Ham United FC fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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