Premier League · Matchday 37
Recap: Newcastle United FC vs West Ham United FC
Sunday May 17, 2026 16:30 Match finished
Final score
3 – 1
Final score Newcastle United FC - West Ham United FC. The AI Predictor had projected 1-1, with Over 2.5 at 58% and BTTS at 59%. Post-match analysis and AI lessons below.
Full AI analysis of Newcastle United FC vs West Ham United FC, scheduled for dimanche mai 17, 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.
For Newcastle United FC (13), hosting West Ham United FC (18) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Newcastle United FC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Newcastle United FC: Bruno Guimarães (9)
- 🎯 Key scorer for West Ham United FC: Jarrod Bowen (8)
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 83% of Newcastle United FC's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 37, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Newcastle (46.9%, Odds 2.24)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 22.40 $ | +12.40 $ |
| 50 $ | 112.00 $ | +62.00 $ |
| 100 $ | 224.00 $ | +124.00 $ |
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Newcastle United FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-02
- 2026-05-10
⚽ Top scorer : Bruno Guimarães (9)
Across its last 6 outings, Newcastle United FC has 1 wins, 1 draw(s), and 4 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.17 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.50. Both teams have scored in 83% of recent games.
West Ham United FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-10
- 2026-04-20
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-02
- 2026-05-10
⚽ Top scorer : Jarrod Bowen (8)
Across its last 6 outings, West Ham United FC has 2 wins, 1 draw(s), and 3 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.17. Both teams have scored in 17% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | West Ham United FC 3-1 Newcastle United FC | Premier League |
| 2025-03-10 | West Ham United FC 0-1 Newcastle United FC | Premier League |
| 2024-11-25 | Newcastle United FC 0-2 West Ham United FC | Premier League |
| 2024-03-30 | Newcastle United FC 4-3 West Ham United FC | Premier League |
| 2023-10-08 | West Ham United FC 2-2 Newcastle United FC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Newcastle United FC (form: –) meets West Ham United FC (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals proba
bility of 58% and a BTTS of 59% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 46.9% / 28.3% / 24.8% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Newcastle United FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 83% of Newcastle United FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Newcastle United FC relies on Bruno Guimarães (9) as the Premier League top scorer.
- ▸ West Ham United FC relies on Jarrod Bowen (8) as the Premier League top scorer.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Newcastle United FC has a 46.9% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (58%) and BTTS (59%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Newcastle United FC vs West Ham United FC played? +
The Newcastle United FC - West Ham United FC match is scheduled for dimanche mai 17, 2026 at 16:30 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Newcastle United FC and West Ham United FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Newcastle United FC as the favorite with a 46.9% win probability. Full odds: 46.9% for Newcastle, 28.3% draw, 24.8% for West Ham.
What is the most likely score for Newcastle United FC vs West Ham United FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.79 for Newcastle United FC and 1.24 for West Ham United FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 58% for this Newcastle United FC - West Ham United FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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