FIFA World Cup · Matchday 1
Recap: Netherlands vs Japan
Sunday June 14, 2026 20:00 Match finished
Final score
2 – 2
The Netherlands - Japan match ended 2-2. Our AI prediction gave 46.8% for a Netherlands win, 31.0% for a draw, and 22.1% for Japan.
Find our detailed analysis of Netherlands - Japan, kicking off on dimanche juin 14, 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.
Netherlands (rank 1, 0 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Japan (rank 1, 0 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Netherlands (1th) and Japan (1th) within 0 pts
- ⚽ Netherlands scores heavily: 3.5 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Netherlands's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Netherlands's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 1, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Netherlands (46.8%, Odds 2.25)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
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Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Netherlands
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-14
- 2026-06-20
Netherlands arrives with a 1W/1D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 3.50 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.50. Over 2.5 goals at 100%, BTTS at 100%.
Japan
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-14
- 2026-06-21
Japan arrives with a 1W/1D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 3.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 100%, BTTS at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2-2 Japan | FIFA World Cup |
Our analysis
Statistically, Netherlands (1 place, 0 pts) hosts Japan (1 place, 0 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Netherlands and – for Japan) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.53 for Netherlands versus 0.97 for Japan, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-0.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 46.8% / 31.0% / 22.1% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Netherlands sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 0 pts.
- ▸ Japan sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 0 pts.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Netherlands's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Japan's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Netherlands's recent matches.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Netherlands (46.8% win probability) with a 1-0 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 49%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Netherlands vs Japan played? +
The Netherlands - Japan match is scheduled for dimanche juin 14, 2026 at 20:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Netherlands and Japan? +
Our AI Predictor picks Netherlands as the favorite with a 46.8% win probability. Full odds: 46.8% for Netherlands, 31.0% draw, 22.1% for Japan.
What is the most likely score for Netherlands vs Japan? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.53 for Netherlands and 0.97 for Japan.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Netherlands - Japan fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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