FIFA World Cup · Matchday 3
Prediction: Morocco vs Haiti
Wednesday June 24, 2026 22:00
Morocco faces Haiti on mercredi juin 24, 2026 as a clear-cut favorite. Our AI Predictor gives Morocco a 69.6% win probability — a sharp imbalance backed by table position and current form. Full analysis below.
Morocco (2 in the FIFA World Cup, 4 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Haiti (4, 0 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Morocco: Ismael Saibari (2)
- 📊 Tight standings: Morocco (2th) and Haiti (4th) within 4 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 3, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
Bookmaker odds
Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.
| Bookmaker | Morocco | Draw | Haiti |
|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.23 | 6.67 | 16.72 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23 | 6.50 | 14.00 |
| Coolbet | 1.22 | 6.70 | 16.00 |
| Betfair | 1.21 | 7.80 | 19.00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21 | 6.25 | 13.00 |
| Best odds | 1.23 | 7.80 | 20.00 |
Market implied probability: 80% / 14% / 6%.
Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 21/06 08:30
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Morocco
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-13
- 2026-06-19
⚽ Top scorer : Ismael Saibari (2)
Recent record for Morocco: 1W-1D-0L over the last 6 matches. 1.00 goal(s) scored on average vs 0.50 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 0%.
Haiti
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-14
- 2026-06-20
Recent record for Haiti: 0W-0D-2L over the last 6 matches. 0.00 goal(s) scored on average vs 2.00 conceded. BTTS observed at 0%, Over 2.5 at 50%.
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Morocco (form: –) meets Haiti (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 45% and a BTTS
of 33% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 69.6% / 22.9% / 7.5% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0.
Our verdict
In short, Morocco stands as our algorithm's favourite at 69.6%. The modelled scoreline sits around 2-0, and the Over 2.5 (45%) and BTTS (33%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Morocco vs Haiti played? +
The Morocco - Haiti match is scheduled for mercredi juin 24, 2026 at 22:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Morocco and Haiti? +
Our AI Predictor picks Morocco as the favorite with a 69.6% win probability. Full odds: 69.6% for Morocco, 22.9% draw, 7.5% for Haiti.
What is the most likely score for Morocco vs Haiti? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 2-0, with expected goals (xG) of 2.01 for Morocco and 0.49 for Haiti.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Morocco - Haiti fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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