Ligue 1 · Matchday 7
Prediction: Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29
Saturday October 17, 2026 18:45
Lille OSC hosts Stade Brestois 29 this samedi at 18:45 in the Ligue 1. According to our AI, Lille OSC approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
Lille OSC (rank 4, 10 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Stade Brestois 29 (rank 9, 5 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Ligue 1 fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Lille OSC: Tiago Santos (2)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Stade Brestois 29: Kamory Doumbia (4)
- 🗓️ Matchday 7, Ligue 1
AI Predictor Forecast
Simulate your bet on this match
Pick your bet
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Lille OSC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-23
- 2026-08-28
- 2026-09-03
- 2026-09-08
- 2026-09-13
⚽ Top scorer : Tiago Santos (2)
Lille OSC arrives with a 3W/1D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.80 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 40%, BTTS at 40%.
Stade Brestois 29
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-05
- 2026-09-13
⚽ Top scorer : Kamory Doumbia (4)
Stade Brestois 29 arrives with a 1W/2D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.50 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.50. Over 2.5 goals at 75%, BTTS at 75%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Lille OSC 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Stade Brestois 29 3-3 Lille OSC | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Lille OSC | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-12-06 | Lille OSC 3-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Lille OSC | Ligue 1 |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (10 pts vs 5 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.87 vs 0.95). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 55.1% probability of a Lille OSC win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 55.1% Lille win, 27.3% draw, 17.6% Brest win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 75% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 75% of Stade Brestois 29's recent matches.
- ▸ Lille OSC relies on Tiago Santos (2) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
- ▸ Stade Brestois 29 relies on Kamory Doumbia (4) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
Our verdict
In short, Lille OSC stands as our algorithm's favourite at 55.1%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-0, and the Over 2.5 (53%) and BTTS (52%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29 played? +
The Lille OSC - Stade Brestois 29 match is scheduled for samedi octobre 17, 2026 at 18:45 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Lille OSC and Stade Brestois 29? +
Our AI Predictor picks Lille OSC as the favorite with a 55.1% win probability. Full odds: 55.1% for Lille, 27.3% draw, 17.6% for Brest.
What is the most likely score for Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.87 for Lille OSC and 0.95 for Stade Brestois 29.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 53% for this Lille OSC - Stade Brestois 29 fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Full access right now