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⚠️ Statistical prediction — not a guaranteed-win system. Probabilities computed via Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles on public data.  ·  See methodology  ·  Responsible Gambling

La Liga · Matchday 37

Prediction: Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca

📅 Sunday May 17, 2026 ⏰ 17:00

Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca: one of those matches where the AI refuses to call. Probabilities: 40.9% / 24.9% / 34.2%. For bettors, this odds shape often signals a value-bet opportunity — here's why.

Levante UD (rank 19, 33 pts) is looking to string together strong results against RCD Mallorca (rank 15, 38 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 🗓️ Matchday 37, La Liga

🤖 AI Predictor Forecast

Levante wins
40.9%
Draw
24.9%
Mallorca wins
34.2%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
58%
Expected goals (xG)
1.51 - 1.36

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League standings

Levante UD
19 (33 pts)
RCD Mallorca
15 (38 pts)

📊 Our analysis

The table gap between Levante UD (19 place) and RCD Mallorca (15 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Levante UD. Expected goals are 1.51 for Levante and 1.36 for Mallorca, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.

🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 40.9% / 24.9% / 34.2% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

🏁 Our verdict

Bottom line: our models converge on a Levante UD win (40.9%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 54% Over 2.5 reading and the 58% BTTS — two markets to study.

Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.

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❓ Frequently asked questions

When is Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca played? +

The Levante UD - RCD Mallorca match is scheduled for Sunday May 17, 2026 at 17:00 in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between Levante UD and RCD Mallorca? +

Our AI Predictor picks Levante UD as the favorite with a 40.9% win probability. Full odds: 40.9% for Levante, 24.9% draw, 34.2% for Mallorca.

What is the most likely score for Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.51 for Levante UD and 1.36 for RCD Mallorca.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 54% for this Levante UD - RCD Mallorca fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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