La Liga · Matchday 37
Recap: Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca
Sunday May 17, 2026 17:00 Match finished
Final score
2 – 0
Match over: Levante UD 2-0 RCD Mallorca. Our initial AI prediction had Levante UD favored at 39.8%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming La Liga matches.
Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca: one of those matches where the AI refuses to call. Probabilities: 39.8% / 29.6% / 30.6%. For bettors, this odds shape often signals a value-bet opportunity — here's why.
Levante UD (rank 19, 39 pts) is looking to string together strong results against RCD Mallorca (rank 18, 39 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Levante UD: Carlos Espí (9)
- 🎯 Key scorer for RCD Mallorca: Vedat Muriqi (22)
- 📊 Tight standings: Levante UD (19th) and RCD Mallorca (18th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 37, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Levante (39.8%, Odds 2.65)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 26.50 $ | +16.50 $ |
| 50 $ | 132.50 $ | +82.50 $ |
| 100 $ | 265.00 $ | +165.00 $ |
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Levante UD
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-04-13
- 2026-04-23
- 2026-04-27
- 2026-05-02
- 2026-05-08
- 2026-05-12
⚽ Top scorer : Carlos Espí (9)
Levante UD arrives with a 4W/1D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.50. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.
RCD Mallorca
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-21
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-01
- 2026-05-10
- 2026-05-13
⚽ Top scorer : Vedat Muriqi (22)
RCD Mallorca arrives with a 2W/2D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.17. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 67%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-26 | RCD Mallorca 1-1 Levante UD | Primera Division |
| 2022-01-08 | Levante UD 2-0 RCD Mallorca | Primera Division |
| 2021-10-02 | RCD Mallorca 1-0 Levante UD | Primera Division |
| 2020-07-09 | RCD Mallorca 2-0 Levante UD | Primera Division |
Our analysis
The table gap between Levante UD (19 place) and RCD Mallorca (18 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Levante UD. Expected goals are 1.58 for Levante and 1.36 for Mallorca, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 39.8% / 29.6% / 30.6% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of RCD Mallorca's recent matches.
- ▸ Levante UD relies on Carlos Espí (9) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ RCD Mallorca relies on Vedat Muriqi (22) as the La Liga top scorer.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Levante UD win (39.8%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 56% Over 2.5 reading and the 59% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca played? +
The Levante UD - RCD Mallorca match is scheduled for Sunday May 17, 2026 at 17:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Levante UD and RCD Mallorca? +
Our AI Predictor picks Levante UD as the favorite with a 39.8% win probability. Full odds: 39.8% for Levante, 29.6% draw, 30.6% for Mallorca.
What is the most likely score for Levante UD vs RCD Mallorca? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.58 for Levante UD and 1.36 for RCD Mallorca.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 56% for this Levante UD - RCD Mallorca fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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