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La Liga · Matchday 6

Prediction: Levante UD vs Athletic Club

Wednesday October 21, 2026 18:00

Balanced fixture for Levante UD - Athletic Club on mercredi septembre 16, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 40.0% home, 30.0% draw, 30.0% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.

Levante UD (rank 19, 0 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Athletic Club (rank 9, 0 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 📊 League gap: Athletic Club (9th) vs Levante UD (19th)
  • 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Levante UD's recent matches
  • 🗓️ Matchday 6, La Liga

AI Predictor Forecast

Levante wins
31.5%
Draw
30.2%
Athletic wins
38.3%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
57%
Expected goals (xG)
1.34 - 1.50

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League standings

Levante UD
17 (5 pts)
Athletic Club
10 (8 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Levante UD

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L
0/1
W
0/1
D
1/1
L
Goals scored/match 0.00
Goals conceded/match 3.00
Both teams to score 0%
Over 2.5 goals 100%
  • 2026-08-16 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 3-0 Levante UD

Levante UD arrives with a 0W/0D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 3.00. Over 2.5 goals at 100%, BTTS at 0%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-02-08 Athletic Club 4-2 Levante UDPrimera Division
2025-11-29 Levante UD 0-2 Athletic ClubPrimera Division
2022-03-07 Athletic Club 3-1 Levante UDPrimera Division
2021-11-19 Levante UD 0-0 Athletic ClubPrimera Division

Our analysis

Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (0 pts vs 0 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.40 vs 1.20). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited

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to asymmetric matches, returns a 40.0% probability of a Levante UD win.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 40.0% / 30.0% / 30.0%.

Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: Levante UD has a 40.0% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (55%) and BTTS (50%) probabilities suggest an open match.

Frequently asked questions

When is Levante UD vs Athletic Club played? +

The Levante UD - Athletic Club match is scheduled for mercredi septembre 16, 2026 at 00:00 in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between Levante UD and Athletic Club? +

Our AI Predictor picks Levante UD as the favorite with a 40.0% win probability. Full odds: 40.0% for Levante, 30.0% draw, 30.0% for Athletic.

What is the most likely score for Levante UD vs Athletic Club? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.40 for Levante UD and 1.20 for Athletic Club.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this Levante UD - Athletic Club fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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