Premier League · Matchday 5
Prediction: Leeds United FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Sunday September 20, 2026 13:00
Leeds United FC vs Crystal Palace FC: one of those matches where the AI refuses to call. Probabilities: 33.5% / 31.2% / 35.4%. For bettors, this odds shape often signals a value-bet opportunity — here's why.
For Leeds United FC (7), hosting Crystal Palace FC (19) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Crystal Palace FC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Leeds United FC: Anton Stach (1)
- 📊 League gap: Leeds United FC (7th) vs Crystal Palace FC (19th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 5, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Leeds United FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-30
⚽ Top scorer : Anton Stach (1)
Across its last 6 outings, Leeds United FC has 1 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.50. Both teams have scored in 50% of recent games.
Crystal Palace FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-22
- 2026-08-28
Across its last 6 outings, Crystal Palace FC has 0 wins, 0 draw(s), and 2 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 0.50 goal(s)/match, defensive at 3.00. Both teams have scored in 50% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Crystal Palace FC 0-0 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
| 2025-12-20 | Leeds United FC 4-1 Crystal Palace FC | Premier League |
| 2023-04-09 | Leeds United FC 1-5 Crystal Palace FC | Premier League |
| 2022-10-09 | Crystal Palace FC 2-1 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
| 2022-04-25 | Crystal Palace FC 0-0 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
Our analysis
The table gap between Leeds United FC (7 place) and Crystal Palace FC (19 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Crystal Palace FC. Expected goals are 1.33 for Leeds United and 1.37 for Crystal Palace, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 33.5% / 31.2% / 35.4% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Crystal Palace FC has a 35.4% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (51%) and BTTS (55%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Leeds United FC vs Crystal Palace FC played? +
The Leeds United FC - Crystal Palace FC match is scheduled for samedi septembre 19, 2026 at 14:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Leeds United FC and Crystal Palace FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Crystal Palace FC as the favorite with a 35.4% win probability. Full odds: 33.5% for Leeds United, 31.2% draw, 35.4% for Crystal Palace.
What is the most likely score for Leeds United FC vs Crystal Palace FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.33 for Leeds United FC and 1.37 for Crystal Palace FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 51% for this Leeds United FC - Crystal Palace FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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