Ligue 1 · Matchday 7
Prediction: Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre
Sunday October 18, 2026 15:15
On Sunday October 18, 2026, Le Havre AC and AJ Auxerre face off in the Ligue 1. Talacote's AI Predictor ran this match through Poisson, ELO, and Dixon-Coles models: our forecast gives Le Havre AC a slight edge.
Le Havre AC (18 in the Ligue 1, 2 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. AJ Auxerre (10, 6 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 League gap: AJ Auxerre (10th) vs Le Havre AC (18th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 7, Ligue 1
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Le Havre AC (form: –) meets AJ Auxerre (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 61% an
d a BTTS of 62% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 46.2% Le Havre win, 27.8% draw, 26.0% Auxerre win.
Our verdict
In short, Le Havre AC stands as our algorithm's favourite at 46.2%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (61%) and BTTS (62%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre played? +
The Le Havre AC - AJ Auxerre match is scheduled for Sunday October 18, 2026 at 15:15 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Le Havre AC and AJ Auxerre? +
Our AI Predictor picks Le Havre AC as the favorite with a 46.2% win probability. Full odds: 46.2% for Le Havre, 27.8% draw, 26.0% for Auxerre.
What is the most likely score for Le Havre AC vs AJ Auxerre? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.84 for Le Havre AC and 1.33 for AJ Auxerre.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 61% for this Le Havre AC - AJ Auxerre fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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