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FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2

Recap: Jordan vs Algeria

Tuesday June 23, 2026 03:00 Match finished

Final score

1 2

The Jordan - Algeria match ended 1-2. Our AI prediction gave 18.8% for a Jordan win, 30.0% for a draw, and 51.2% for Algeria.

Our AI Predictor places Jordan in the underdog role against Algeria (18.8% win probability). For bettors, this kind of long away line can be worth a look — assuming a confirmed value-bet calculation. Details below.

For Jordan (0 pts on the board, 3 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Algeria (0 pts, 4) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.

Key takeaways

  • 📊 Tight standings: Jordan (3th) and Algeria (4th) within 0 pts
  • 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Jordan's recent matches
  • 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Jordan's recent matches
  • 🗓️ Matchday 2, FIFA World Cup

AI Predictor Forecast

Jordan wins
18.8%
Draw
30.0%
Algeria wins
51.2%
Most likely score
0-1
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Both teams to score
47%
Expected goals (xG)
0.88 - 1.63

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Algeria (51.2%, Odds 2.06)

✅ Correct prediction

Stake Total return Net profit
10 $ 20.60 $ +10.60 $
50 $ 103.00 $ +53.00 $
100 $ 206.00 $ +106.00 $
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League standings

Jordan
3 (0 pts)
Algeria
4 (0 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Jordan

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L L L
0/3
W
0/3
D
3/3
L
Goals scored/match 1.00
Goals conceded/match 2.67
Both teams to score 100%
Over 2.5 goals 100%
  • 2026-06-17 Austria 3-1 Jordan
  • 2026-06-23 Jordan 1-2 Algeria
  • 2026-06-28 Jordan 1-3 Argentina

Jordan form: 0 wins, 0 draw(s), and 3 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.00) and defensive average (2.67) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 100%.

Algeria

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L W D L
1/4
W
1/4
D
2/4
L
Goals scored/match 1.25
Goals conceded/match 2.25
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 75%
  • 2026-06-17 Argentina 3-0 Algeria
  • 2026-06-23 Jordan 1-2 Algeria
  • 2026-06-28 Algeria 3-3 Austria
  • 2026-07-03 Switzerland 2-0 Algeria

Algeria form: 1 wins, 1 draw(s), and 2 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.25) and defensive average (2.25) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 75%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-06-23 Jordan 1-2 AlgeriaFIFA World Cup

Our analysis

Statistically, Jordan (3 place, 0 pts) hosts Algeria (4 place, 0 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Jordan and – for Algeria) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 0.88 for Jordan versus 1.63 for Algeria, our Poisson model projects a final score around 0-1.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 18.8% / 30.0% / 51.2% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Jordan is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 0 pts).
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Jordan's recent matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 75% of Algeria's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 100% of Jordan's recent matches.

Our verdict

Final prediction: edge to Algeria (51.2% win probability) with a 0-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 45%, BTTS at 47%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.

Frequently asked questions

When is Jordan vs Algeria played? +

The Jordan - Algeria match is scheduled for mardi juin 23, 2026 at 03:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Jordan and Algeria? +

Our AI Predictor picks Algeria as the favorite with a 51.2% win probability. Full odds: 18.8% for Jordan, 30.0% draw, 51.2% for Algeria.

What is the most likely score for Jordan vs Algeria? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 0-1, with expected goals (xG) of 0.88 for Jordan and 1.63 for Algeria.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Jordan - Algeria fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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