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FIFA World Cup

Prediction: Ivory Coast vs Norway

Tuesday June 30, 2026 17:00

Our AI Predictor examined the FIFA World Cup clash Ivory Coast vs Norway. Verdict: Ivory Coast carries a 46.7% chance of winning. Full breakdown below.

Ivory Coast (rank 2, 6 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Norway (rank 2, 6 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Norway: Erling Haaland (4)
  • 📊 Tight standings: Ivory Coast (2th) and Norway (2th) within 0 pts
  • ⚽ Norway scores heavily: 2.67 goals/match average over last 6

AI Predictor Forecast

Ivory Coast wins
46.7%
Draw
25.8%
Norway wins
27.5%
Most likely score
2-1
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Both teams to score
69%
Expected goals (xG)
2.11 - 1.58

Bookmaker odds

Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.

Value bet detected
Ivory Coast @ 4.10 — estimated +91.6% value according to our AI.
BookmakerIvory CoastDrawNorway
Unibet (SE) 4.10 3.60 1.95
Unibet (NL) 4.10 3.60 1.95
LeoVegas (SE) 4.00 3.55 1.93
Unibet (FR) 4.00 3.65 1.94
Matchbook 4.00 3.65 2.06
Betfair 4.00 3.65 2.06
1xBet 3.98 3.78 2.00
Marathon Bet 3.92 3.72 1.97
Best odds4.103.782.06

Market implied probability: 25% / 27% / 49%.

Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 27/06 08:30

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League standings

Ivory Coast
2 (6 pts)
Norway
2 (6 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Ivory Coast

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W L W
2/3
W
0/3
D
1/3
L
Goals scored/match 1.33
Goals conceded/match 0.67
Both teams to score 33%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-06-14 Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador
  • 2026-06-20 Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast
  • 2026-06-25 Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast arrives with a 2W/0D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goal(s) on average and conceding 0.67. Over 2.5 goals at 33%, BTTS at 33%.

Norway

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W W L
2/3
W
0/3
D
1/3
L
Goals scored/match 2.67
Goals conceded/match 2.33
Both teams to score 100%
Over 2.5 goals 100%
  • 2026-06-16 Iraq 1-4 Norway
  • 2026-06-23 Norway 3-2 Senegal
  • 2026-06-26 Norway 1-4 France

⚽ Top scorer : Erling Haaland (4)

Norway arrives with a 2W/0D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.67 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.33. Over 2.5 goals at 100%, BTTS at 100%.

Our analysis

Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (6 pts vs 6 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (2.11 vs 1.58). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited

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to asymmetric matches, returns a 46.7% probability of a Ivory Coast win.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 46.7% Ivory Coast win, 25.8% draw, 27.5% Norway win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Ivory Coast is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 6 pts).
  • Norway is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 6 pts).
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Norway's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 100% of Norway's recent matches.
  • Norway relies on Erling Haaland (4) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

Final prediction: edge to Ivory Coast (46.7% win probability) with a 2-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 71%, BTTS at 69%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.

Frequently asked questions

When is Ivory Coast vs Norway played? +

The Ivory Coast - Norway match is scheduled for mardi juin 30, 2026 at 17:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Ivory Coast and Norway? +

Our AI Predictor picks Ivory Coast as the favorite with a 46.7% win probability. Full odds: 46.7% for Ivory Coast, 25.8% draw, 27.5% for Norway.

What is the most likely score for Ivory Coast vs Norway? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 2-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.11 for Ivory Coast and 1.58 for Norway.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 71% for this Ivory Coast - Norway fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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