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FIFA World Cup

Recap: Ivory Coast vs Norway

Tuesday June 30, 2026 17:00 Match finished

Final score

1 2

The Ivory Coast - Norway match ended 1-2. Our AI prediction gave 46.7% for a Ivory Coast win, 25.8% for a draw, and 27.5% for Norway.

Our AI Predictor examined the FIFA World Cup clash Ivory Coast vs Norway. Verdict: Ivory Coast carries a 46.7% chance of winning. Full breakdown below.

Ivory Coast (rank 2, 6 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Norway (rank 2, 6 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Norway: Erling Haaland (7)
  • 📊 Tight standings: Ivory Coast (2th) and Norway (2th) within 0 pts
  • ⚽ Norway scores heavily: 2.17 goals/match average over last 6

AI Predictor Forecast

Ivory Coast wins
46.7%
Draw
25.8%
Norway wins
27.5%
Most likely score
2-1
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Both teams to score
69%
Expected goals (xG)
2.11 - 1.58

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Ivory Coast (46.7%, Odds 2.25)

❌ Missed prediction

Losing bet.

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League standings

Ivory Coast
2 (6 pts)
Norway
2 (6 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Ivory Coast

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W L W L
2/4
W
0/4
D
2/4
L
Goals scored/match 1.25
Goals conceded/match 1.00
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-06-14 Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador
  • 2026-06-20 Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast
  • 2026-06-25 Curaçao 0-2 Ivory Coast
  • 2026-06-30 Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway

Ivory Coast arrives with a 2W/0D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.25 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.

Norway

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W W L W W L
4/6
W
0/6
D
2/6
L
Goals scored/match 2.17
Goals conceded/match 1.83
Both teams to score 100%
Over 2.5 goals 100%
  • 2026-06-16 Iraq 1-4 Norway
  • 2026-06-23 Norway 3-2 Senegal
  • 2026-06-26 Norway 1-4 France
  • 2026-06-30 Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway
  • 2026-07-05 Brazil 1-2 Norway
  • 2026-07-11 Norway 1-2 England

⚽ Top scorer : Erling Haaland (7)

Norway arrives with a 4W/0D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.17 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.83. Over 2.5 goals at 100%, BTTS at 100%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-06-30 Ivory Coast 1-2 NorwayFIFA World Cup

Our analysis

Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (6 pts vs 6 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (2.11 vs 1.58). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited

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to asymmetric matches, returns a 46.7% probability of a Ivory Coast win.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 46.7% Ivory Coast win, 25.8% draw, 27.5% Norway win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Ivory Coast is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 6 pts).
  • Norway is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 6 pts).
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Norway's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 100% of Norway's recent matches.
  • Norway relies on Erling Haaland (7) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

Final prediction: edge to Ivory Coast (46.7% win probability) with a 2-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 71%, BTTS at 69%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.

Frequently asked questions

When is Ivory Coast vs Norway played? +

The Ivory Coast - Norway match is scheduled for mardi juin 30, 2026 at 17:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Ivory Coast and Norway? +

Our AI Predictor picks Ivory Coast as the favorite with a 46.7% win probability. Full odds: 46.7% for Ivory Coast, 25.8% draw, 27.5% for Norway.

What is the most likely score for Ivory Coast vs Norway? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 2-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.11 for Ivory Coast and 1.58 for Norway.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 71% for this Ivory Coast - Norway fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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