FIFA World Cup · Matchday 1
Recap: Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Sunday June 14, 2026 23:00 Match finished
Final score
1 – 0
The Ivory Coast - Ecuador match ended 1-0. Our AI prediction gave 30.3% for a Ivory Coast win, 32.4% for a draw, and 37.3% for Ecuador.
Balanced fixture for Ivory Coast - Ecuador on dimanche juin 14, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 30.3% home, 32.4% draw, 37.3% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
For Ivory Coast (1), hosting Ecuador (1) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Ecuador a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Ivory Coast (1th) and Ecuador (1th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 1, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Ecuador (37.3%, Odds 2.82)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
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Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Ivory Coast
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-14
- 2026-06-20
Across its last 6 outings, Ivory Coast has 1 wins, 0 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.00. Both teams have scored in 50% of recent games.
Ecuador
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-14
- 2026-06-21
Across its last 6 outings, Ecuador has 0 wins, 1 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 0.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.50. Both teams have scored in 0% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador | FIFA World Cup |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (0 pts vs 0 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.17 vs 1.33). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 30.3% probability of a Ivory Coast win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 30.3% / 32.4% / 37.3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Ecuador (37.3% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 51%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Ivory Coast vs Ecuador played? +
The Ivory Coast - Ecuador match is scheduled for dimanche juin 14, 2026 at 23:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Ivory Coast and Ecuador? +
Our AI Predictor picks Ecuador as the favorite with a 37.3% win probability. Full odds: 30.3% for Ivory Coast, 32.4% draw, 37.3% for Ecuador.
What is the most likely score for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.17 for Ivory Coast and 1.33 for Ecuador.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Ivory Coast - Ecuador fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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