FIFA World Cup · Matchday 1
Recap: Iran vs New Zealand
Tuesday June 16, 2026 01:00 Match finished
Final score
2 – 2
Match over: Iran - New Zealand. Our initial AI prediction had Iran favored at 53.4%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming FIFA World Cup matches.
Iran hosts New Zealand this mardi at 01:00 in the FIFA World Cup. According to our AI, Iran approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
For Iran (0 pts on the board, 1 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. New Zealand (0 pts, 1) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Iran (1th) and New Zealand (1th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 1, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Iran (53.4%, Odds 1.97)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
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Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Iran (form: –) meets New Zealand (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 45% and a BT
TS of 46% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 53.4% Iran win, 29.4% draw, 17.3% New Zealand win.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Iran win (53.4%) with a typical scoreline of 1-0. Worth noting the 45% Over 2.5 reading and the 46% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Iran vs New Zealand played? +
The Iran - New Zealand match is scheduled for mardi juin 16, 2026 at 01:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Iran and New Zealand? +
Our AI Predictor picks Iran as the favorite with a 53.4% win probability. Full odds: 53.4% for Iran, 29.4% draw, 17.3% for New Zealand.
What is the most likely score for Iran vs New Zealand? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.67 for Iran and 0.83 for New Zealand.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Iran - New Zealand fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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