FIFA World Cup · Matchday 1
Recap: Haiti vs Scotland
Sunday June 14, 2026 01:00 Match finished
Final score
0 – 1
Match over: Haiti - Scotland. Our initial AI prediction had Scotland favored at 56.1%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming FIFA World Cup matches.
Haiti hosts Scotland on dimanche juin 14, 2026 as the underdog. Our AI Predictor gives the visitors a 56.1% win probability against just 15.4% for the home side. Skill gap, standings, and recent form converge — full analysis below.
Haiti (rank 3, 0 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Scotland (rank 4, 0 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Haiti (3th) and Scotland (4th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 1, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Scotland (56.1%, Odds 1.88)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 18.80 $ | +8.80 $ |
| 50 $ | 94.00 $ | +44.00 $ |
| 100 $ | 188.00 $ | +88.00 $ |
League standings
Our analysis
The table gap between Haiti (3 place) and Scotland (4 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Scotland. Expected goals are 0.77 for Haiti and 1.73 for Scotland, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 15.4% / 28.5% / 56.1% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Scotland win (56.1%) with a typical scoreline of 0-1. Worth noting the 45% Over 2.5 reading and the 44% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Haiti vs Scotland played? +
The Haiti - Scotland match is scheduled for dimanche juin 14, 2026 at 01:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Haiti and Scotland? +
Our AI Predictor picks Scotland as the favorite with a 56.1% win probability. Full odds: 15.4% for Haiti, 28.5% draw, 56.1% for Scotland.
What is the most likely score for Haiti vs Scotland? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 0-1, with expected goals (xG) of 0.77 for Haiti and 1.73 for Scotland.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Haiti - Scotland fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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