Serie A · Matchday 7
Prediction: Frosinone Calcio vs US Sassuolo Calcio
Friday October 16, 2026 18:45
Frosinone Calcio hosts US Sassuolo Calcio this Friday at 18:45 in the Serie A. According to our AI, Frosinone Calcio approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
For Frosinone Calcio (10 pts on the board, 6 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. US Sassuolo Calcio (7 pts, 10) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Frosinone Calcio: Antonio Raimondo (4)
- 🎯 Key scorer for US Sassuolo Calcio: Vasilije Adzic (3)
- 🗓️ Matchday 7, Serie A
AI Predictor Forecast
Simulate your bet on this match
Pick your bet
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Frosinone Calcio
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-23
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-12
⚽ Top scorer : Antonio Raimondo (4)
Frosinone Calcio form: 2 wins, 1 draw(s), and 1 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.75) and defensive average (1.00) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 50%.
US Sassuolo Calcio
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-23
- 2026-08-29
- 2026-09-06
- 2026-09-13
- 2026-09-18
⚽ Top scorer : Vasilije Adzic (3)
US Sassuolo Calcio form: 2 wins, 1 draw(s), and 2 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.80) and defensive average (1.80) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 100%.
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (10 pts vs 7 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (2.07 vs 1.24). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 53.0% probability of a Frosinone Calcio win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The weighting engine combines offensive/defensive xG (35% weight), 5-match form dynamics (28%), standings and points (20%), head-to-head (12%), and home advantage (5%). Final 1X2 result lands at 53.0% / 25.9% / 21.1%.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of US Sassuolo Calcio's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of US Sassuolo Calcio's recent matches.
- ▸ Frosinone Calcio relies on Antonio Raimondo (4) as the Serie A top scorer.
- ▸ US Sassuolo Calcio relies on Vasilije Adzic (3) as the Serie A top scorer.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Frosinone Calcio has a 53.0% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1. The Over 2.5 (64%) and BTTS (62%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Frosinone Calcio vs US Sassuolo Calcio played? +
The Frosinone Calcio - US Sassuolo Calcio match is scheduled for Friday October 16, 2026 at 18:45 in the Serie A.
Who is the favorite between Frosinone Calcio and US Sassuolo Calcio? +
Our AI Predictor picks Frosinone Calcio as the favorite with a 53.0% win probability. Full odds: 53.0% for Frosinone, 25.9% draw, 21.1% for Sassuolo.
What is the most likely score for Frosinone Calcio vs US Sassuolo Calcio? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 2-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.07 for Frosinone Calcio and 1.24 for US Sassuolo Calcio.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 64% for this Frosinone Calcio - US Sassuolo Calcio fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Full access right now