FIFA World Cup
Prediction: France vs England
Saturday July 18, 2026 21:00
France hosts England this samedi at 21:00 in the FIFA World Cup. According to our AI, France approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
France (rank 1, 9 pts) is looking to string together strong results against England (rank 1, 7 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for France: Kylian Mbappé (8)
- 🎯 Key scorer for England: Harry Kane (6)
- 📊 Tight standings: France (1th) and England (1th) within 2 pts
- ⚽ France scores heavily: 2.17 goals/match average over last 6
AI Predictor Forecast
Bookmaker odds
Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.
| Bookmaker | France | Draw | England |
|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.99 | 3.81 | 3.67 |
| Matchbook | 1.97 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.97 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.95 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| Betsson | 1.95 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| Coolbet | 1.94 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| Best odds | 1.99 | 4.03 | 4.05 |
Market implied probability: 50% / 25% / 25%.
Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 17/07 08:30
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
France
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-22
- 2026-06-26
- 2026-06-30
- 2026-07-04
- 2026-07-09
- 2026-07-14
⚽ Top scorer : Kylian Mbappé (8)
France arrives with a 5W/0D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.17 goal(s) on average and conceding 0.50. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 17%.
England
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-17
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-27
- 2026-07-01
- 2026-07-06
- 2026-07-11
⚽ Top scorer : Harry Kane (6)
England arrives with a 5W/1D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.17 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 67%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-10 | England 1-2 France | FIFA World Cup |
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. France (form: –) meets England (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 68% and a BTTS
of 64% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 56.9% France win, 24.0% draw, 19.1% England win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ France sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 9 pts.
- ▸ England sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
- ▸ France is on a 5-match winning streak.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of England's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of England's recent matches.
- ▸ France relies on Kylian Mbappé (8) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.
- ▸ England relies on Harry Kane (6) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to France (56.9% win probability) with a 2-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 68%, BTTS at 64%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is France vs England played? +
The France - England match is scheduled for samedi juillet 18, 2026 at 21:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between France and England? +
Our AI Predictor picks France as the favorite with a 56.9% win probability. Full odds: 56.9% for France, 24.0% draw, 19.1% for England.
What is the most likely score for France vs England? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 2-1, with expected goals (xG) of 2.30 for France and 1.27 for England.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 68% for this France - England fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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