Premier League · Matchday 1
Recap: Everton FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Saturday August 22, 2026 14:00 Match finished
Final score
2 – 0
The Everton FC - Crystal Palace FC match ended -. Our AI prediction gave 41.8% for a Everton win, 31.2% for a draw, and 27.0% for Crystal Palace.
Wide-open match this samedi août 22, 2026: Everton FC vs Crystal Palace FC. Our AI Predictor returns a tight distribution (41.8% / 31.2% / 27.0%) — typical of the situations where value-bet analysis pays off. Breakdown below.
For Everton FC (49 pts on the board, 13 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Crystal Palace FC (45 pts, 15) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Everton FC (13th) and Crystal Palace FC (15th) within 4 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 1, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Everton (42.6%, Odds 2.47)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 24.70 $ | +14.70 $ |
| 50 $ | 123.50 $ | +73.50 $ |
| 100 $ | 247.00 $ | +147.00 $ |
League standings
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Crystal Palace FC 2-2 Everton FC | Premier League |
| 2025-10-05 | Everton FC 2-1 Crystal Palace FC | Premier League |
| 2025-02-15 | Crystal Palace FC 1-2 Everton FC | Premier League |
| 2024-09-28 | Everton FC 2-1 Crystal Palace FC | Premier League |
| 2024-02-19 | Everton FC 1-1 Crystal Palace FC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Everton FC (form: –) meets Crystal Palace FC (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of
49% and a BTTS of 52% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 41.8% Everton win, 31.2% draw, 27.0% Crystal Palace win.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Everton FC (41.8% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 49%, BTTS at 52%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Everton FC vs Crystal Palace FC played? +
The Everton FC - Crystal Palace FC match is scheduled for samedi août 22, 2026 at 14:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Everton FC and Crystal Palace FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Everton FC as the favorite with a 41.8% win probability. Full odds: 41.8% for Everton, 31.2% draw, 27.0% for Crystal Palace.
What is the most likely score for Everton FC vs Crystal Palace FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.48 for Everton FC and 1.14 for Crystal Palace FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 49% for this Everton FC - Crystal Palace FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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