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FIFA World Cup

Prediction: England vs Congo DR

Wednesday July 1, 2026 16:00

England hosts Congo DR this mercredi at 16:00 in the FIFA World Cup. According to our AI, England approaches this match as the statistical favorite.

For England (1), hosting Congo DR (3) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With England a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for England: Harry Kane (3)
  • 🎯 Key scorer for Congo DR: Yoane Wissa (3)
  • 📊 Tight standings: England (1th) and Congo DR (3th) within 3 pts
  • ⚽ England scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6

AI Predictor Forecast

England wins
51.8%
Draw
28.9%
Congo DR wins
19.3%
Most likely score
1-0
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
50%
Expected goals (xG)
1.73 - 0.95

Bookmaker odds

Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.

Value bet detected
Draw @ 5.80 — estimated +67.4% value according to our AI.
BookmakerEnglandDrawCongo DR
GTbets 1.32 5.27 11.57
1xBet 1.31 5.74 12.70
Unibet (NL) 1.30 5.60 13.00
Unibet (SE) 1.30 5.50 14.00
Matchbook 1.30 5.80 15.00
Betfair 1.30 5.80 14.50
BetOnline.ag 1.30 5.50 12.00
LeoVegas (SE) 1.29 5.30 11.50
Best odds1.325.8015.00

Market implied probability: 75% / 17% / 8%.

Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 28/06 08:30

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League standings

England
1 (7 pts)
Congo DR
3 (4 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

England

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W D W
2/3
W
1/3
D
0/3
L
Goals scored/match 2.00
Goals conceded/match 0.67
Both teams to score 33%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-06-17 England 4-2 Croatia
  • 2026-06-23 England 0-0 Ghana
  • 2026-06-27 Panama 0-2 England

⚽ Top scorer : Harry Kane (3)

Across its last 6 outings, England has 2 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.67. Both teams have scored in 33% of recent games.

Congo DR

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D L W
1/3
W
1/3
D
1/3
L
Goals scored/match 1.33
Goals conceded/match 1.00
Both teams to score 67%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-06-17 Portugal 1-1 Congo DR
  • 2026-06-24 Colombia 1-0 Congo DR
  • 2026-06-27 Congo DR 3-1 Uzbekistan

⚽ Top scorer : Yoane Wissa (3)

Across its last 6 outings, Congo DR has 1 wins, 1 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.33 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.00. Both teams have scored in 67% of recent games.

Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. England (form: –) meets Congo DR (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 50% and a BT

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TS of 50% — interesting markets for value bettors.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 51.8% England win, 28.9% draw, 19.3% Congo DR win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • England sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
  • Congo DR is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 4 pts).
  • Both teams have scored in 67% of Congo DR's recent matches.
  • England relies on Harry Kane (3) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.
  • Congo DR relies on Yoane Wissa (3) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: England has a 51.8% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0. The Over 2.5 (50%) and BTTS (50%) probabilities suggest an open match.

Frequently asked questions

When is England vs Congo DR played? +

The England - Congo DR match is scheduled for mercredi juillet 1, 2026 at 16:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between England and Congo DR? +

Our AI Predictor picks England as the favorite with a 51.8% win probability. Full odds: 51.8% for England, 28.9% draw, 19.3% for Congo DR.

What is the most likely score for England vs Congo DR? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.73 for England and 0.95 for Congo DR.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 50% for this England - Congo DR fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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