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FIFA World Cup

Recap: England vs Congo DR

Wednesday July 1, 2026 16:00 Match finished

Final score

2 1

Final score England - Congo DR. The AI Predictor had projected 1-0, with Over 2.5 at 50% and BTTS at 50%. Post-match analysis and AI lessons below.

England hosts Congo DR this mercredi at 16:00 in the FIFA World Cup. According to our AI, England approaches this match as the statistical favorite.

For England (1), hosting Congo DR (3) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With England a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for England: Harry Kane (3)
  • 🎯 Key scorer for Congo DR: Yoane Wissa (3)
  • 📊 Tight standings: England (1th) and Congo DR (3th) within 3 pts
  • ⚽ England scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6

AI Predictor Forecast

England wins
51.8%
Draw
28.9%
Congo DR wins
19.3%
Most likely score
1-0
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
50%
Expected goals (xG)
1.73 - 0.95

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: England (51.8%, Odds 2.03)

✅ Correct prediction

Stake Total return Net profit
10 $ 20.30 $ +10.30 $
50 $ 101.50 $ +51.50 $
100 $ 203.00 $ +103.00 $
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League standings

England
1 (7 pts)
Congo DR
3 (4 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

England

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W W W W L W
5/6
W
0/6
D
1/6
L
Goals scored/match 2.67
Goals conceded/match 1.67
Both teams to score 83%
Over 2.5 goals 83%
  • 2026-06-27 Panama 0-2 England
  • 2026-07-01 England 2-1 Congo DR
  • 2026-07-06 Mexico 2-3 England
  • 2026-07-11 Norway 1-2 England
  • 2026-07-15 England 1-2 Argentina
  • 2026-07-18 France 4-6 England

⚽ Top scorer : Jude Bellingham (7)

Across its last 6 outings, England has 2 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0.67. Both teams have scored in 33% of recent games.

Congo DR

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D L W L
1/4
W
1/4
D
2/4
L
Goals scored/match 1.25
Goals conceded/match 1.25
Both teams to score 75%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-06-17 Portugal 1-1 Congo DR
  • 2026-06-24 Colombia 1-0 Congo DR
  • 2026-06-27 Congo DR 3-1 Uzbekistan
  • 2026-07-01 England 2-1 Congo DR

⚽ Top scorer : Yoane Wissa (3)

Across its last 6 outings, Congo DR has 1 wins, 1 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.33 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1.00. Both teams have scored in 67% of recent games.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-07-01 England 2-1 Congo DRFIFA World Cup

Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. England (form: –) meets Congo DR (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 50% and a BT

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TS of 50% — interesting markets for value bettors.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 51.8% England win, 28.9% draw, 19.3% Congo DR win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • England sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
  • Congo DR is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 4 pts).
  • England is on a 4-match winning streak.
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of England's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 83% of England's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 75% of Congo DR's recent matches.
  • England relies on Jude Bellingham (7) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: England has a 51.8% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0. The Over 2.5 (50%) and BTTS (50%) probabilities suggest an open match.

Frequently asked questions

When is England vs Congo DR played? +

The England - Congo DR match is scheduled for mercredi juillet 1, 2026 at 16:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between England and Congo DR? +

Our AI Predictor picks England as the favorite with a 51.8% win probability. Full odds: 51.8% for England, 28.9% draw, 19.3% for Congo DR.

What is the most likely score for England vs Congo DR? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.73 for England and 0.95 for Congo DR.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 50% for this England - Congo DR fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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