La Liga · Matchday 1
Prediction: Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe CF
Sunday August 16, 2026 15:00
Balanced fixture for Deportivo Alavés - Getafe CF on dimanche août 16, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 36.4% home, 33.6% draw, 30.0% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
Deportivo Alavés (rank 14, 43 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Getafe CF (rank 7, 51 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 1, La Liga
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Deportivo Alavés 0-2 Getafe CF | Primera Division |
| 2025-09-24 | Getafe CF 1-1 Deportivo Alavés | Primera Division |
| 2025-02-09 | Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Getafe CF | Primera Division |
| 2024-09-28 | Getafe CF 2-0 Deportivo Alavés | Primera Division |
| 2024-05-18 | Deportivo Alavés 1-0 Getafe CF | Primera Division |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (43 pts vs 51 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.24 vs 1.10). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suite
d to asymmetric matches, returns a 36.4% probability of a Deportivo Alavés win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 36.4% / 33.6% / 30.0% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Deportivo Alavés has a 36.4% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (41%) and BTTS (47%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe CF played? +
The Deportivo Alavés - Getafe CF match is scheduled for dimanche août 16, 2026 at 15:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Deportivo Alavés and Getafe CF? +
Our AI Predictor picks Deportivo Alavés as the favorite with a 36.4% win probability. Full odds: 36.4% for Alavés, 33.6% draw, 30.0% for Getafe.
What is the most likely score for Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe CF? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.24 for Deportivo Alavés and 1.10 for Getafe CF.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 41% for this Deportivo Alavés - Getafe CF fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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