FIFA World Cup · Matchday 3
Prediction: Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
Thursday June 25, 2026 20:00
Our AI Predictor places Curaçao in the underdog role against Ivory Coast (16.5% win probability). For bettors, this kind of long away line can be worth a look — assuming a confirmed value-bet calculation. Details below.
For Curaçao (0 pts on the board, 1 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Ivory Coast (0 pts, 1) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Curaçao (1th) and Ivory Coast (1th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 3, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
Bookmaker odds
Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.
Draw @ 9.50 — estimated +175.8% value according to our AI.
| Bookmaker | Curaçao | Draw | Ivory Coast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 32.00 | 8.50 | 1.13 |
| Nordic Bet | 32.00 | 8.50 | 1.13 |
| 1xBet | 26.00 | 8.90 | 1.16 |
| Marathon Bet | 24.00 | 8.10 | 1.14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 21.00 | 9.50 | 1.13 |
| Unibet (NL) | 21.00 | 9.50 | 1.13 |
| Unibet (SE) | 21.00 | 9.50 | 1.13 |
| 888sport | 21.00 | 7.50 | 1.12 |
| Best odds | 32.00 | 9.50 | 1.17 |
Market implied probability: 5% / 11% / 84%.
Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 21/06 08:30
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League standings
Our analysis
Statistically, Curaçao (1 place, 0 pts) hosts Ivory Coast (1 place, 0 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Curaçao and – for Ivory Coast) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 0.81 for Curaçao versus 1.69 for Ivory Coast, our Poisson model projects a final score around 0-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 16.5% / 29.0% / 54.5% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1.
Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Ivory Coast has a 54.5% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1. The Over 2.5 (45%) and BTTS (45%) probabilities suggest an open match.
Frequently asked questions
When is Curaçao vs Ivory Coast played? +
The Curaçao - Ivory Coast match is scheduled for jeudi juin 25, 2026 at 20:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Curaçao and Ivory Coast? +
Our AI Predictor picks Ivory Coast as the favorite with a 54.5% win probability. Full odds: 16.5% for Curaçao, 29.0% draw, 54.5% for Ivory Coast.
What is the most likely score for Curaçao vs Ivory Coast? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 0-1, with expected goals (xG) of 0.81 for Curaçao and 1.69 for Ivory Coast.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Curaçao - Ivory Coast fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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