FIFA World Cup
Recap: Colombia vs Ghana
Saturday July 4, 2026 01:30 Match finished
Final score
1 – 0
Match over: Colombia 1-0 Ghana. Our initial AI prediction had Colombia favored at 48.1%. Compare reality with probabilities to calibrate your read on upcoming FIFA World Cup matches.
Colombia hosts Ghana this samedi at 01:30 in the FIFA World Cup. According to our AI, Colombia approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
Colombia (1 in the FIFA World Cup, 7 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Ghana (3, 4 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Colombia (1th) and Ghana (3th) within 3 pts
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Colombia (48.1%, Odds 2.19)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 21.90 $ | +11.90 $ |
| 50 $ | 109.50 $ | +59.50 $ |
| 100 $ | 219.00 $ | +119.00 $ |
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Colombia
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-18
- 2026-06-24
- 2026-06-27
- 2026-07-04
- 2026-07-07
Recent record for Colombia: 3W-1D-1L over the last 6 matches. 1.60 goal(s) scored on average vs 1.00 conceded. BTTS observed at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%.
Ghana
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-17
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-27
- 2026-07-04
Recent record for Ghana: 1W-1D-2L over the last 6 matches. 0.50 goal(s) scored on average vs 0.75 conceded. BTTS observed at 25%, Over 2.5 at 25%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia 1-0 Ghana | FIFA World Cup |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (7 pts vs 4 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.15 vs 0.48). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 48.1% probability of a Colombia win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 48.1% Colombia win, 38.0% draw, 13.9% Ghana win.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Colombia win (48.1%) with a typical scoreline of 1-0. Worth noting the 22% Over 2.5 reading and the 26% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Colombia vs Ghana played? +
The Colombia - Ghana match is scheduled for samedi juillet 4, 2026 at 01:30 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Colombia and Ghana? +
Our AI Predictor picks Colombia as the favorite with a 48.1% win probability. Full odds: 48.1% for Colombia, 38.0% draw, 13.9% for Ghana.
What is the most likely score for Colombia vs Ghana? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.15 for Colombia and 0.48 for Ghana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 22% for this Colombia - Ghana fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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