FIFA World Cup
Prediction: Colombia vs Ghana
Saturday July 4, 2026 01:30
Colombia hosts Ghana this samedi at 01:30 in the FIFA World Cup. According to our AI, Colombia approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
Colombia (1 in the FIFA World Cup, 7 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Ghana (3, 4 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Colombia: Daniel Muñoz (2)
- 📊 Tight standings: Colombia (1th) and Ghana (3th) within 3 pts
AI Predictor Forecast
Bookmaker odds
Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.
Draw @ 4.10 — estimated +55.7% value according to our AI.
| Bookmaker | Colombia | Draw | Ghana |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.99 | 8.10 |
| Matchbook | 1.56 | 4.10 | 8.40 |
| Betfair | 1.56 | 4.10 | 8.40 |
| Coolbet | 1.55 | 4.05 | 7.60 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.55 | 3.85 | 7.50 |
| Betsson | 1.55 | 3.85 | 7.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 3.99 | 7.33 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53 | 3.85 | 8.50 |
| Best odds | 1.56 | 4.10 | 8.50 |
Market implied probability: 63% / 24% / 13%.
Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 30/06 08:30
Simulate your bet on this match
Pick your bet
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Colombia
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-18
- 2026-06-24
- 2026-06-27
⚽ Top scorer : Daniel Muñoz (2)
Recent record for Colombia: 2W-1D-0L over the last 6 matches. 1.33 goal(s) scored on average vs 0.33 conceded. BTTS observed at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%.
Ghana
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-17
- 2026-06-23
- 2026-06-27
Recent record for Ghana: 1W-1D-1L over the last 6 matches. 0.67 goal(s) scored on average vs 0.67 conceded. BTTS observed at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%.
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (7 pts vs 4 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.15 vs 0.48). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited
to asymmetric matches, returns a 48.1% probability of a Colombia win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 48.1% Colombia win, 38.0% draw, 13.9% Ghana win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Colombia sits at the top of FIFA World Cup with 7 pts.
- ▸ Ghana is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 4 pts).
- ▸ Colombia relies on Daniel Muñoz (2) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Colombia win (48.1%) with a typical scoreline of 1-0. Worth noting the 22% Over 2.5 reading and the 26% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is Colombia vs Ghana played? +
The Colombia - Ghana match is scheduled for samedi juillet 4, 2026 at 01:30 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Colombia and Ghana? +
Our AI Predictor picks Colombia as the favorite with a 48.1% win probability. Full odds: 48.1% for Colombia, 38.0% draw, 13.9% for Ghana.
What is the most likely score for Colombia vs Ghana? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.15 for Colombia and 0.48 for Ghana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 22% for this Colombia - Ghana fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Full access right now