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La Liga · Matchday 2

Prediction: CA Osasuna vs Levante UD

Monday August 24, 2026 17:30

CA Osasuna hosts Levante UD this lundi at 17:30 in the La Liga. According to our AI, CA Osasuna approaches this match as the statistical favorite.

CA Osasuna (16 in the La Liga, 42 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Levante UD (18, 42 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.

Key takeaways

  • 📊 Tight standings: CA Osasuna (16th) and Levante UD (18th) within 0 pts
  • 🗓️ Matchday 2, La Liga

AI Predictor Forecast

Osasuna wins
42.9%
Draw
30.0%
Levante wins
27.1%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
56%
Expected goals (xG)
1.59 - 1.21

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League standings

CA Osasuna
16 (42 pts)
Levante UD
18 (42 pts)

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-05-08 Levante UD 3-2 CA OsasunaPrimera Division
2025-12-08 CA Osasuna 2-0 Levante UDPrimera Division
2022-03-19 CA Osasuna 3-1 Levante UDPrimera Division
2021-12-05 Levante UD 0-0 CA OsasunaPrimera Division
2021-02-14 Levante UD 0-1 CA OsasunaPrimera Division

Our analysis

The table gap between CA Osasuna (16 place) and Levante UD (18 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in CA Osasuna. Expected goals are 1.59 for Osasuna and 1.21 for Levante, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 42.9% / 30.0% / 27.1% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

Our verdict

In short, CA Osasuna stands as our algorithm's favourite at 42.9%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (53%) and BTTS (56%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Frequently asked questions

When is CA Osasuna vs Levante UD played? +

The CA Osasuna - Levante UD match is scheduled for lundi août 24, 2026 at 17:30 in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between CA Osasuna and Levante UD? +

Our AI Predictor picks CA Osasuna as the favorite with a 42.9% win probability. Full odds: 42.9% for Osasuna, 30.0% draw, 27.1% for Levante.

What is the most likely score for CA Osasuna vs Levante UD? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.59 for CA Osasuna and 1.21 for Levante UD.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 53% for this CA Osasuna - Levante UD fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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