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FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2

Recap: Brazil vs Haiti

Saturday June 20, 2026 00:30 Match finished

Final score

3 0

Match verdict: Brazil - Haiti. Talacote's AI Predictor had projected a 2-0 scoreline — post-match analysis below.

Match looks lopsided on paper this samedi juin 20, 2026: Brazil hosts Haiti with a 82.4% AI win probability. Standings, recent dynamics, and xG all tilt heavily toward the home side. But football stays unpredictable — here's why.

For Brazil (0 pts on the board, 0 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Haiti (0 pts, 0) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Brazil: Vinicius Junior (1)
  • 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Brazil's recent matches
  • 🗓️ Matchday 2, FIFA World Cup

AI Predictor Forecast

Brazil wins
82.4%
Draw
15.6%
Haiti wins
2.1%
Most likely score
2-0
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Both teams to score
16%
Expected goals (xG)
2.31 - 0.19

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Brazil (82.4%, Odds 3.40)

✅ Correct prediction

Stake Total return Net profit
10 $ 34.00 $ +24.00 $
50 $ 170.00 $ +120.00 $
100 $ 340.00 $ +240.00 $
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League standings

Brazil
3 (1 pts)
Haiti
4 (0 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Brazil

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D
0/1
W
1/1
D
0/1
L
Goals scored/match 1.00
Goals conceded/match 1.00
Both teams to score 100%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
  • 2026-06-13 Brazil 1-1 Morocco

⚽ Top scorer : Vinicius Junior (1)

Brazil form: 0 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1.00) and defensive average (1.00) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 0%.

Haiti

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L
0/1
W
0/1
D
1/1
L
Goals scored/match 0.00
Goals conceded/match 1.00
Both teams to score 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
  • 2026-06-14 Haiti 0-1 Scotland

Haiti form: 0 wins, 0 draw(s), and 1 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (0.00) and defensive average (1.00) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 0%.

Our analysis

The table gap between Brazil (0 place) and Haiti (0 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Brazil. Expected goals are 2.31 for Brazil and 0.19 for Haiti, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 82.4% / 15.6% / 2.1% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Brazil is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 1 pts).
  • Both teams have scored in 100% of Brazil's recent matches.
  • Brazil relies on Vinicius Junior (1) as the FIFA World Cup top scorer.

Our verdict

In short, Brazil stands as our algorithm's favourite at 82.4%. The modelled scoreline sits around 2-0, and the Over 2.5 (45%) and BTTS (16%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Frequently asked questions

When is Brazil vs Haiti played? +

The Brazil - Haiti match is scheduled for samedi juin 20, 2026 at 00:30 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Brazil and Haiti? +

Our AI Predictor picks Brazil as the favorite with a 82.4% win probability. Full odds: 82.4% for Brazil, 15.6% draw, 2.1% for Haiti.

What is the most likely score for Brazil vs Haiti? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 2-0, with expected goals (xG) of 2.31 for Brazil and 0.19 for Haiti.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Brazil - Haiti fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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