Serie A · Matchday 3
Prediction: Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio
Sunday September 6, 2026 16:00
Uncertain match expected on dimanche septembre 6, 2026 between Bologna FC 1909 and US Sassuolo Calcio. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (40.0% / 30.0% / 30.0%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
For Bologna FC 1909 (0 pts on the board, 1 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. US Sassuolo Calcio (0 pts, 1) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Bologna FC 1909 (1th) and US Sassuolo Calcio (1th) within 0 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 3, Serie A
AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | US Sassuolo Calcio 0-1 Bologna FC 1909 | Serie A |
| 2025-12-28 | Bologna FC 1909 1-1 US Sassuolo Calcio | Serie A |
| 2024-02-03 | Bologna FC 1909 4-2 US Sassuolo Calcio | Serie A |
| 2023-10-28 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1-1 Bologna FC 1909 | Serie A |
| 2023-05-08 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1-1 Bologna FC 1909 | Serie A |
Our analysis
Statistically, Bologna FC 1909 (1 place, 0 pts) hosts US Sassuolo Calcio (1 place, 0 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Bologna FC 1909 and – for US Sassuolo Calcio) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation.
With an xG of 1.40 for Bologna FC 1909 versus 1.20 for US Sassuolo Calcio, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 40.0% Bologna win, 30.0% draw, 30.0% Sassuolo win.
Our verdict
In short, Bologna FC 1909 stands as our algorithm's favourite at 40.0%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (55%) and BTTS (50%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio played? +
The Bologna FC 1909 - US Sassuolo Calcio match is scheduled for dimanche septembre 6, 2026 at 16:00 in the Serie A.
Who is the favorite between Bologna FC 1909 and US Sassuolo Calcio? +
Our AI Predictor picks Bologna FC 1909 as the favorite with a 40.0% win probability. Full odds: 40.0% for Bologna, 30.0% draw, 30.0% for Sassuolo.
What is the most likely score for Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.40 for Bologna FC 1909 and 1.20 for US Sassuolo Calcio.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this Bologna FC 1909 - US Sassuolo Calcio fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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