FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2
Prediction: Belgium vs Iran
Sunday June 21, 2026 19:00
Full AI analysis of Belgium vs Iran, scheduled for dimanche juin 21, 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.
Belgium (rank 3, 1 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Iran (rank 2, 1 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Belgium (3th) and Iran (2th) within 0 pts
- ⚽ Iran scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Belgium's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 2, FIFA World Cup
AI Predictor Forecast
Bookmaker odds
Real 1X2 odds collected from the main bookmakers for this match. The best odds for each outcome are highlighted.
| Bookmaker | Belgium | Draw | Iran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 4.40 | 1.25 | 12.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.75 | 7.85 |
| Betfair | 1.48 | 4.80 | 8.40 |
| Matchbook | 1.48 | 4.80 | 8.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 4.79 | 7.68 |
| Coolbet | 1.46 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| Betsson | 1.46 | 4.50 | 7.70 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.46 | 4.50 | 7.70 |
| Best odds | 4.40 | 4.90 | 12.00 |
Market implied probability: 65% / 23% / 12%.
Odds provided by the-odds-api.com · 21/06 08:30
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League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Belgium
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-15
Belgium arrives with a 0W/1D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 0%, BTTS at 100%.
Iran
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-06-16
Iran arrives with a 0W/1D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 2.00. Over 2.5 goals at 100%, BTTS at 100%.
Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Belgium (form: –) meets Iran (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 45% and a BTTS o
f 46% — interesting markets for value bettors.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 52.8% Belgium win, 29.5% draw, 17.6% Iran win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Belgium is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 1 pts).
- ▸ Iran is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 1 pts).
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Iran's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Belgium's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Iran's recent matches.
Our verdict
In short, Belgium stands as our algorithm's favourite at 52.8%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-0, and the Over 2.5 (45%) and BTTS (46%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Frequently asked questions
When is Belgium vs Iran played? +
The Belgium - Iran match is scheduled for dimanche juin 21, 2026 at 19:00 in the FIFA World Cup.
Who is the favorite between Belgium and Iran? +
Our AI Predictor picks Belgium as the favorite with a 52.8% win probability. Full odds: 52.8% for Belgium, 29.5% draw, 17.6% for Iran.
What is the most likely score for Belgium vs Iran? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.66 for Belgium and 0.84 for Iran.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Belgium - Iran fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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