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FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2

Recap: Belgium vs Iran

Sunday June 21, 2026 19:00 Match finished

Final score

0 0

Match verdict: Belgium 0-0 Iran. Talacote's AI Predictor had projected a 1-0 scoreline — post-match analysis below.

Full AI analysis of Belgium vs Iran, scheduled for dimanche juin 21, 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.

Belgium (rank 3, 1 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Iran (rank 2, 1 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this FIFA World Cup fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 📊 Tight standings: Belgium (3th) and Iran (2th) within 0 pts
  • ⚽ Belgium scores heavily: 2.25 goals/match average over last 6
  • 🎯 Both teams scored in 75% of Belgium's recent matches
  • 🗓️ Matchday 2, FIFA World Cup

AI Predictor Forecast

Belgium wins
52.8%
Draw
29.5%
Iran wins
17.6%
Most likely score
1-0
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Both teams to score
46%
Expected goals (xG)
1.66 - 0.84

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Belgium (52.8%, Odds 1.99)

❌ Missed prediction

Losing bet.

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League standings

Belgium
3 (1 pts)
Iran
2 (1 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Belgium

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D D W W
2/4
W
2/4
D
0/4
L
Goals scored/match 2.25
Goals conceded/match 1.00
Both teams to score 75%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-06-15 Belgium 1-1 Egypt
  • 2026-06-21 Belgium 0-0 Iran
  • 2026-06-27 New Zealand 1-5 Belgium
  • 2026-07-01 Belgium 3-2 Senegal

Belgium arrives with a 2W/2D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2.25 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 75%.

Iran

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D D D
0/3
W
3/3
D
0/3
L
Goals scored/match 1.00
Goals conceded/match 1.00
Both teams to score 67%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-06-16 Iran 2-2 New Zealand
  • 2026-06-21 Belgium 0-0 Iran
  • 2026-06-27 Egypt 1-1 Iran

Iran arrives with a 0W/3D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1.00 goal(s) on average and conceding 1.00. Over 2.5 goals at 33%, BTTS at 67%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-06-21 Belgium 0-0 IranFIFA World Cup

Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. Belgium (form: –) meets Iran (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 45% and a BTTS o

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f 46% — interesting markets for value bettors.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 52.8% Belgium win, 29.5% draw, 17.6% Iran win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Belgium is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (3, 1 pts).
  • Iran is in the top 3 of FIFA World Cup (2, 1 pts).
  • Both teams have scored in 75% of Belgium's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 67% of Iran's recent matches.

Our verdict

In short, Belgium stands as our algorithm's favourite at 52.8%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-0, and the Over 2.5 (45%) and BTTS (46%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Frequently asked questions

When is Belgium vs Iran played? +

The Belgium - Iran match is scheduled for dimanche juin 21, 2026 at 19:00 in the FIFA World Cup.

Who is the favorite between Belgium and Iran? +

Our AI Predictor picks Belgium as the favorite with a 52.8% win probability. Full odds: 52.8% for Belgium, 29.5% draw, 17.6% for Iran.

What is the most likely score for Belgium vs Iran? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.66 for Belgium and 0.84 for Iran.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Belgium - Iran fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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