Skip to content
Talacote.com
Statistical prediction — not a guaranteed-win system. Probabilities computed via Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles on public data.  ·  See methodology  ·  Responsible Gambling

Ligue 1 · Matchday 2

Recap: AJ Auxerre vs Angers SCO

Saturday August 29, 2026 18:45 Match finished

Final score

1 3

The AJ Auxerre - Angers SCO match ended -. Our AI prediction gave 40.0% for a Auxerre win, 30.0% for a draw, and 30.0% for Angers SCO.

Uncertain match expected on samedi août 29, 2026 between AJ Auxerre and Angers SCO. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (40.0% / 30.0% / 30.0%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.

For AJ Auxerre (1), hosting Angers SCO (1) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With AJ Auxerre a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.

Key takeaways

  • 📊 Tight standings: AJ Auxerre (1th) and Angers SCO (1th) within 0 pts
  • 🗓️ Matchday 2, Ligue 1

AI Predictor Forecast

Auxerre wins
44.5%
Draw
30.3%
Angers SCO wins
25.2%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
53%
Expected goals (xG)
1.58 - 1.12

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Auxerre (44.5%, Odds 2.37)

❌ Missed prediction

Losing bet.

Try Premium for all predictions →

League standings

AJ Auxerre
17 (0 pts)
Angers SCO
15 (0 pts)

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2026-05-03 AJ Auxerre 3-1 Angers SCOLigue 1
2025-11-09 Angers SCO 2-0 AJ AuxerreLigue 1
2025-01-19 Angers SCO 2-0 AJ AuxerreLigue 1
2024-11-24 AJ Auxerre 1-0 Angers SCOLigue 1

Our analysis

Statistically, AJ Auxerre (1 place, 0 pts) hosts Angers SCO (1 place, 0 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for AJ Auxerre and – for Angers SCO) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.40 for AJ Auxerre versus 1.20 for Angers SCO, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.

How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 40.0% / 30.0% / 30.0% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

Our verdict

Final prediction: edge to AJ Auxerre (40.0% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 55%, BTTS at 50%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.

Frequently asked questions

When is AJ Auxerre vs Angers SCO played? +

The AJ Auxerre - Angers SCO match is scheduled for samedi août 29, 2026 at 18:45 in the Ligue 1.

Who is the favorite between AJ Auxerre and Angers SCO? +

Our AI Predictor picks AJ Auxerre as the favorite with a 40.0% win probability. Full odds: 40.0% for Auxerre, 30.0% draw, 30.0% for Angers SCO.

What is the most likely score for AJ Auxerre vs Angers SCO? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.40 for AJ Auxerre and 1.20 for Angers SCO.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 55% for this AJ Auxerre - Angers SCO fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

Full access right now

Scroll to Top