Premier League · Matchday 5
Recap: AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool FC
Sunday, 20 September 2026 14:00 UK time Match finished
Final score
0 – 1
The AFC Bournemouth - Liverpool FC match ended 0-1. Our AI prediction gave 33.1% for a Bournemouth win, 29.6% for a draw, and 37.4% for Liverpool.
Balanced fixture for AFC Bournemouth - Liverpool FC on Sunday, 20 September 2026. No clear AI favorite: 33.1% home, 29.6% draw, 37.4% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
For AFC Bournemouth (16), hosting Liverpool FC (10) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Liverpool FC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for AFC Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (1)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Liverpool FC: Cody Gakpo (1)
- ⚽ Liverpool FC scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of AFC Bournemouth's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of AFC Bournemouth's recent matches
AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Liverpool (37.4%, Odds 2.82)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 28.20 $ | +18.20 $ |
| 50 $ | 141.00 $ | +91.00 $ |
| 100 $ | 282.00 $ | +182.00 $ |
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
AFC Bournemouth
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-23
⚽ Top scorer : Marcus Tavernier (1)
Across its last 6 outings, AFC Bournemouth has 0 wins, 0 draw(s), and 1 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 2.00. Both teams have scored in 100% of recent games.
Liverpool FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-08-23
⚽ Top scorer : Cody Gakpo (1)
Across its last 6 outings, Liverpool FC has 0 wins, 1 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 2.00 goal(s)/match, defensive at 2.00. Both teams have scored in 100% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | AFC Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool FC | Premier League |
| 2025-08-15 | Liverpool FC 4-2 AFC Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2025-02-01 | AFC Bournemouth 0-2 Liverpool FC | Premier League |
| 2024-09-21 | Liverpool FC 3-0 AFC Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 2024-01-21 | AFC Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool FC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (3 pts vs 6 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1.44 vs 1.54). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 33.1% probability of a AFC Bournemouth win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 33.1% / 29.6% / 37.4% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of AFC Bournemouth's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Liverpool FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of AFC Bournemouth's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Liverpool FC's recent matches.
- ▸ AFC Bournemouth relies on Marcus Tavernier (1) as the Premier League top scorer.
- ▸ Liverpool FC relies on Cody Gakpo (1) as the Premier League top scorer.
Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Liverpool FC (37.4% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 57%, BTTS at 60%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Frequently asked questions
When is AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool FC played? +
The AFC Bournemouth - Liverpool FC match is scheduled for Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:00 UK time in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between AFC Bournemouth and Liverpool FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Liverpool FC as the favorite with a 37.4% win probability. Full odds: 33.1% for Bournemouth, 29.6% draw, 37.4% for Liverpool.
What is the most likely score for AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1.44 for AFC Bournemouth and 1.54 for Liverpool FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 57% for this AFC Bournemouth - Liverpool FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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