La Liga · Matchday 36
예측 Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
📅 목요일 5월 14, 2026 ⏰ 17:00
Uncertain match expected on 목요일 5월 14, 2026 between Valencia CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (39,7% / 26,9% / 33,4%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.
Valencia CF (12 in the La Liga, 39 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (11, 42 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 📊 Tight standings: Valencia CF (12th) and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (11th) within 3 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 36, La Liga
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Valencia CF
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-05
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-21
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-02
Recent record for Valencia CF: 2W-1D-3L over the last 6 matches. 1,17 goal(s) scored on average vs 1,33 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 33%.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-03
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-23
- 2026-04-26
- 2026-05-03
Recent record for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 3W-1D-2L over the last 6 matches. 1,17 goal(s) scored on average vs 1,17 conceded. BTTS observed at 17%, Over 2.5 at 33%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 Valencia CF | Primera Division |
| 2025-04-19 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 Valencia CF | Primera Division |
| 2024-12-07 | Valencia CF 0-1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2024-05-12 | Valencia CF 0-0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Primera Division |
| 2023-12-19 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0-1 Valencia CF | Primera Division |
📊 Our analysis
Statistically, Valencia CF (12 place, 39 pts) hosts Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (11 place, 42 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Valencia CF and – for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1,32 for Valencia CF versus 1,19 for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 39,7% / 26,9% / 33,4% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🏁 Our verdict
In short, Valencia CF stands as our algorithm's favourite at 39,7%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (46%) and BTTS (51%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
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Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid played? +
The Valencia CF - Rayo Vallecano de Madrid match is scheduled for 목요일 5월 14, 2026 at 17:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Valencia CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? +
Our AI Predictor picks Valencia CF as the favorite with a 39,7% win probability. Full odds: 39,7% for Valencia, 26,9% draw, 33,4% for Rayo Vallecano.
What is the most likely score for Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,32 for Valencia CF and 1,19 for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 46% for this Valencia CF - Rayo Vallecano de Madrid fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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