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무료 스포츠 베팅 시뮬레이터: AI 예측 & 배당금 계산기 — Talacote
⚠️ 통계적 예측 — 보장된 승리 시스템이 아닙니다. Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles로 공개 데이터에서 계산된 확률.  ·  방법론 보기  ·  책임감 있는 도박

Premier League · Matchday 35

요약 Everton FC vs Manchester City FC

📅 월요일 5월 4, 2026 ⏰ 19:00 Match finished

Final score

3 3

The Everton FC - Manchester City FC match ended 3-3. Our AI prediction gave 30,0% for a Everton win, 25,3% for a draw, and 44,7% for Man City.

Full AI analysis of Everton FC vs Manchester City FC, scheduled for 월요일 5월 4, 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.

Everton FC (rank 11, 47 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Manchester City FC (rank 2, 70 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Premier League fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Everton FC: Beto (8)
  • 🎯 Key scorer for Manchester City FC: Erling Haaland (24)
  • 📊 League gap: Manchester City FC (2th) vs Everton FC (11th)
  • 🗓️ Matchday 35, Premier League

🤖 AI Predictor Forecast

Everton wins
30,0%
Draw
25,3%
Man City wins
44,7%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
55%
Expected goals (xG)
1,20 - 1,52

💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction

Our AI said: Man City (44,7%, Odds 2,35)

❌ Missed prediction

Losing bet.

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League standings

Everton FC
11 (47 pts)
Manchester City FC
2 (70 pts)

📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Everton FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W L W D L L
2/6
W
1/6
D
3/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,50
Goals conceded/match 1,33
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
  • 2026-03-03 Everton FC 2-0 Burnley FC
  • 2026-03-14 Arsenal FC 2-0 Everton FC
  • 2026-03-21 Everton FC 3-0 Chelsea FC
  • 2026-04-11 Brentford FC 2-2 Everton FC
  • 2026-04-19 Everton FC 1-2 Liverpool FC
  • 2026-04-25 West Ham United FC 2-1 Everton FC

⚽ Top scorer : Beto (8)

Everton FC arrives with a 2W/1D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1,50 goal(s) on average and conceding 1,33. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 50%.

Manchester City FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L D L W W W
3/6
W
1/6
D
2/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,33
Goals conceded/match 1,17
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
  • 2026-03-11 Real Madrid CF 3-0 Manchester City FC
  • 2026-03-14 West Ham United FC 1-1 Manchester City FC
  • 2026-03-17 Manchester City FC 1-2 Real Madrid CF
  • 2026-04-12 Chelsea FC 0-3 Manchester City FC
  • 2026-04-19 Manchester City FC 2-1 Arsenal FC
  • 2026-04-22 Burnley FC 0-1 Manchester City FC

⚽ Top scorer : Erling Haaland (24)

Manchester City FC arrives with a 3W/1D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1,33 goal(s) on average and conceding 1,17. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 50%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2025-10-18 Manchester City FC 2-0 Everton FCPremier League
2025-04-19 Everton FC 0-2 Manchester City FCPremier League
2024-12-26 Manchester City FC 1-1 Everton FCPremier League
2024-02-10 Manchester City FC 2-0 Everton FCPremier League
2023-12-27 Everton FC 1-3 Manchester City FCPremier League

📊 Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. Everton FC (form: –) meets Manchester City FC (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 51% and a BTTS of 55% — interesting markets for value bettors.

🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 30,0% / 25,3% / 44,7% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Manchester City FC is in the top 3 of Premier League (2, 70 pts).
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Everton FC's recent matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Manchester City FC's recent matches.
  • Everton FC relies on Beto (8) as the Premier League top scorer.
  • Manchester City FC relies on Erling Haaland (24) as the Premier League top scorer.

🏁 Our verdict

Bottom line: our models converge on a Manchester City FC win (44,7%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 51% Over 2.5 reading and the 55% BTTS — two markets to study.

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❓ Frequently asked questions

When is Everton FC vs Manchester City FC played? +

The Everton FC - Manchester City FC match is scheduled for 월요일 5월 4, 2026 at 19:00 in the Premier League.

Who is the favorite between Everton FC and Manchester City FC? +

Our AI Predictor picks Manchester City FC as the favorite with a 44,7% win probability. Full odds: 30,0% for Everton, 25,3% draw, 44,7% for Man City.

What is the most likely score for Everton FC vs Manchester City FC? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,20 for Everton FC and 1,52 for Manchester City FC.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 51% for this Everton FC - Manchester City FC fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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