Ligue 1 · Matchday 33
예측 AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice
📅 일요일 5월 10, 2026 ⏰ 19:00
AJ Auxerre hosts OGC Nice this 일요일 at 19:00 in the Ligue 1. According to our AI, AJ Auxerre approaches this match as the statistical favorite.
AJ Auxerre (16 in the Ligue 1, 28 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. OGC Nice (15, 31 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for AJ Auxerre: Lassine Sinayoko (9)
- 🎯 Key scorer for OGC Nice: Sofiane Diop (7)
- 📊 Tight standings: AJ Auxerre (16th) and OGC Nice (15th) within 3 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 33, Ligue 1
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
AJ Auxerre
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-13
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-05
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-19
- 2026-04-25
⚽ Top scorer : Lassine Sinayoko (9)
Recent record for AJ Auxerre: 1W-3D-2L over the last 6 matches. 1,33 goal(s) scored on average vs 1,17 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%.
OGC Nice
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-04
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-26
- 2026-05-02
⚽ Top scorer : Sofiane Diop (7)
Recent record for OGC Nice: 0W-4D-2L over the last 6 matches. 0,67 goal(s) scored on average vs 1,67 conceded. BTTS observed at 67%, Over 2.5 at 33%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | OGC Nice 3-1 AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-03-14 | OGC Nice 1-1 AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-08-18 | AJ Auxerre 2-1 OGC Nice | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-03-03 | OGC Nice 1-1 AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 |
📊 Our analysis
The table gap between AJ Auxerre (16 place) and OGC Nice (15 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in AJ Auxerre. Expected goals are 1,58 for Auxerre and 1,17 for Nice, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 46,8% / 25,0% / 28,3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of OGC Nice's recent matches.
- ▸ AJ Auxerre relies on Lassine Sinayoko (9) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
- ▸ OGC Nice relies on Sofiane Diop (7) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
🏁 Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: AJ Auxerre has a 46,8% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (52%) and BTTS (55%) probabilities suggest an open match.
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Unlock everything · Lifetime Premium❓ Frequently asked questions
When is AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice played? +
The AJ Auxerre - OGC Nice match is scheduled for 일요일 5월 10, 2026 at 19:00 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between AJ Auxerre and OGC Nice? +
Our AI Predictor picks AJ Auxerre as the favorite with a 46,8% win probability. Full odds: 46,8% for Auxerre, 25,0% draw, 28,3% for Nice.
What is the most likely score for AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,58 for AJ Auxerre and 1,17 for OGC Nice.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 52% for this AJ Auxerre - OGC Nice fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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