Ligue 1 · Matchday 34
Prediction: Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre
📅 Sunday May 17, 2026 ⏰ 19:00
Find our detailed analysis of Lille OSC - AJ Auxerre, kicking off on Sunday May 17, 2026. AI prediction, compared stats, recent form — everything you need before kick-off.
Lille OSC (rank 4, 58 pts) is looking to string together strong results against AJ Auxerre (rank 16, 28 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Ligue 1 fixture.
Key takeaways
- 📊 League gap: Lille OSC (4th) vs AJ Auxerre (16th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 34, Ligue 1
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
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💡 This simulation uses 1 of 3 AI algorithms. Premium unlocks all 3 for sharper predictions.
League standings
📊 Our analysis
Statistically, Lille OSC (4 place, 58 pts) hosts AJ Auxerre (16 place, 28 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Lille OSC and – for AJ Auxerre) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1.69 for Lille OSC versus 0.96 for AJ Auxerre, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-0.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 54.3% Lille win, 24.2% draw, 21.5% Auxerre win.
🏁 Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to Lille OSC (54.3% win probability) with a 1-0 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 49%, BTTS at 50%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre played? +
The Lille OSC - AJ Auxerre match is scheduled for Sunday May 17, 2026 at 19:00 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Lille OSC and AJ Auxerre? +
Our AI Predictor picks Lille OSC as the favorite with a 54.3% win probability. Full odds: 54.3% for Lille, 24.2% draw, 21.5% for Auxerre.
What is the most likely score for Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1.69 for Lille OSC and 0.96 for AJ Auxerre.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 49% for this Lille OSC - AJ Auxerre fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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