Premier League · Matchday 38
Tips West Ham United FC vs Leeds United FC
söndag maj 24, 2026 15:00
Balanced fixture for West Ham United FC - Leeds United FC on dimanche mai 24, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 39,6% home, 24,3% draw, 36,2% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
West Ham United FC (rank 18, 36 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Leeds United FC (rank 14, 43 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Premier League fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for West Ham United FC: Jarrod Bowen (8)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Leeds United FC: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (12)
- 🗓️ Matchday 38, Premier League
AI Predictor Forecast
Simulate your bet on this match
Pick your bet
This simulation uses 1 of 3 AI algorithms. Premium unlocks all 3 for sharper predictions.
League standings
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
West Ham United FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-14
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-10
- 2026-04-20
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-02
⚽ Top scorer : Jarrod Bowen (8)
West Ham United FC arrives with a 2W/2D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1,17 goal(s) on average and conceding 1,17. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 33%.
Leeds United FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-15
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-13
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-22
- 2026-05-01
⚽ Top scorer : Dominic Calvert-Lewin (12)
Leeds United FC arrives with a 3W/3D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1,67 goal(s) on average and conceding 0,67. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-24 | Leeds United FC 2-1 West Ham United FC | Premier League |
| 2023-05-21 | West Ham United FC 3-1 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
| 2023-01-04 | Leeds United FC 2-2 West Ham United FC | Premier League |
| 2022-01-16 | West Ham United FC 2-3 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (36 pts vs 43 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1,54 vs 1,47). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suite
d to asymmetric matches, returns a 39,6% probability of a West Ham United FC win.
How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 39,6% West Ham win, 24,3% draw, 36,2% Leeds United win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Leeds United FC's recent matches.
- ▸ West Ham United FC relies on Jarrod Bowen (8) as the Premier League top scorer.
- ▸ Leeds United FC relies on Dominic Calvert-Lewin (12) as the Premier League top scorer.
Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a West Ham United FC win (39,6%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 58% Over 2.5 reading and the 60% BTTS — two markets to study.
Frequently asked questions
When is West Ham United FC vs Leeds United FC played? +
The West Ham United FC - Leeds United FC match is scheduled for dimanche mai 24, 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between West Ham United FC and Leeds United FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks West Ham United FC as the favorite with a 39,6% win probability. Full odds: 39,6% for West Ham, 24,3% draw, 36,2% for Leeds United.
What is the most likely score for West Ham United FC vs Leeds United FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,54 for West Ham United FC and 1,47 for Leeds United FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 58% for this West Ham United FC - Leeds United FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Livstidsåtkomst — engångsbetalning, aldrig en prenumeration
Lås upp allt · Premium på livstid