La Liga · Matchday 34
Sammanfattning Sevilla FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol
📅 måndag maj 4, 2026 ⏰ 19:00 Match finished
Final score
1 – 0
Match verdict: Sevilla FC 1-0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Talacote's AI Predictor had projected a 1-1 scoreline — post-match analysis below.
Wide-open match this måndag maj 4, 2026: Sevilla FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Our AI Predictor returns a tight distribution (39,5% / 23,7% / 36,8%) — typical of the situations where value-bet analysis pays off. Breakdown below.
Sevilla FC (rank 18, 34 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Real Sociedad de Fútbol (rank 9, 43 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Sevilla FC: Akor Adams (8)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Mikel Oyarzabal (14)
- 📊 League gap: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (9th) vs Sevilla FC (18th)
- ⚽ Real Sociedad de Fútbol scores heavily: 2 goals/match average over last 6
- 🗓️ Matchday 34, La Liga
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Sevilla FC (39,5%, Odds 2,67)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 26,70 $ | +16,70 $ |
| 50 $ | 133,50 $ | +83,50 $ |
| 100 $ | 267,00 $ | +167,00 $ |
League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Sevilla FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-15
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-05
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-23
- 2026-04-26
⚽ Top scorer : Akor Adams (8)
Sevilla FC arrives with a 1W/0D/5L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0,83 goal(s) on average and conceding 2,17. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-15
- 2026-03-20
- 2026-04-04
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-22
- 2026-04-26
⚽ Top scorer : Mikel Oyarzabal (14)
Real Sociedad de Fútbol arrives with a 2W/2D/2L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2,00 goal(s) on average and conceding 1,83. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 67%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-24 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-1 Sevilla FC | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-09 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0-1 Sevilla FC | Primera Division |
| 2024-11-03 | Sevilla FC 0-2 Real Sociedad de Fútbol | Primera Division |
| 2024-03-02 | Sevilla FC 3-2 Real Sociedad de Fútbol | Primera Division |
| 2023-11-26 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-1 Sevilla FC | Primera Division |
📊 Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Sevilla FC (form: –) meets Real Sociedad de Fútbol (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 61% and a BTTS of 63% — interesting markets for value bettors.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 39,5% Sevilla FC win, 23,7% draw, 36,8% Real Sociedad win.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Real Sociedad de Fútbol's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Real Sociedad de Fútbol's recent matches.
- ▸ Sevilla FC relies on Akor Adams (8) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ Real Sociedad de Fútbol relies on Mikel Oyarzabal (14) as the La Liga top scorer.
🏁 Our verdict
In short, Sevilla FC stands as our algorithm's favourite at 39,5%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (61%) and BTTS (63%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Sevilla FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol played? +
The Sevilla FC - Real Sociedad de Fútbol match is scheduled for måndag maj 4, 2026 at 19:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Sevilla FC and Real Sociedad de Fútbol? +
Our AI Predictor picks Sevilla FC as the favorite with a 39,5% win probability. Full odds: 39,5% for Sevilla FC, 23,7% draw, 36,8% for Real Sociedad.
What is the most likely score for Sevilla FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,60 for Sevilla FC and 1,54 for Real Sociedad de Fútbol.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 61% for this Sevilla FC - Real Sociedad de Fútbol fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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