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⚠️ Statistisk förutsägelse — inte ett garanterat-vinst-system. Sannolikheter beräknade via Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles på offentlig data.  ·  Se metodologi  ·  Ansvarsfullt spelande

La Liga · Matchday 36

Tips RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD

📅 tisdag maj 12, 2026 ⏰ 17:00

RC Celta de Vigo hosts Levante UD this tisdag at 17:00 in the La Liga. According to our AI, RC Celta de Vigo approaches this match as the statistical favorite.

For RC Celta de Vigo (47 pts on the board, 6 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Levante UD (36 pts, 19) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for RC Celta de Vigo: Borja Iglesias (14)
  • 🎯 Key scorer for Levante UD: Carlos Espí (9)
  • 📊 League gap: RC Celta de Vigo (6th) vs Levante UD (19th)
  • 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 83% of RC Celta de Vigo's recent matches
  • 🗓️ Matchday 36, La Liga

🤖 AI Predictor Forecast

Celta wins
50,8%
Draw
23,6%
Levante wins
25,6%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
57%
Expected goals (xG)
1,75 - 1,17

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League standings

RC Celta de Vigo
6 (47 pts)
Levante UD
19 (36 pts)

📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)

RC Celta de Vigo

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L W L L L W
2/6
W
0/6
D
4/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,67
Goals conceded/match 2,17
Both teams to score 67%
Over 2.5 goals 83%
  • 2026-03-22 RC Celta de Vigo 3-4 Deportivo Alavés
  • 2026-04-05 Valencia CF 2-3 RC Celta de Vigo
  • 2026-04-12 RC Celta de Vigo 0-3 Real Oviedo
  • 2026-04-22 FC Barcelona 1-0 RC Celta de Vigo
  • 2026-04-26 Villarreal CF 2-1 RC Celta de Vigo
  • 2026-05-03 RC Celta de Vigo 3-1 Elche CF

⚽ Top scorer : Borja Iglesias (14)

RC Celta de Vigo form: 2 wins, 0 draw(s), and 4 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1,67) and defensive average (2,17) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 83%.

Levante UD

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W L W W D L
3/6
W
1/6
D
2/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,33
Goals conceded/match 1,50
Both teams to score 33%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-03-21 Levante UD 4-2 Real Oviedo
  • 2026-04-04 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-04-13 Levante UD 1-0 Getafe CF
  • 2026-04-23 Levante UD 2-0 Sevilla FC
  • 2026-04-27 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-05-02 Villarreal CF 5-1 Levante UD

⚽ Top scorer : Carlos Espí (9)

Levante UD form: 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 2 losses in 6 matches. Offensive average (1,33) and defensive average (1,50) shed light on the current dynamic, with an Over 2.5 probability calculated at 33%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2025-11-02 Levante UD 1-2 RC Celta de VigoPrimera Division
2022-02-21 RC Celta de Vigo 1-1 Levante UDPrimera Division
2021-09-21 Levante UD 0-2 RC Celta de VigoPrimera Division
2021-04-30 RC Celta de Vigo 2-0 Levante UDPrimera Division
2020-10-26 Levante UD 1-1 RC Celta de VigoPrimera Division

📊 Our analysis

Statistically, RC Celta de Vigo (6 place, 47 pts) hosts Levante UD (19 place, 36 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for RC Celta de Vigo and – for Levante UD) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1,75 for RC Celta de Vigo versus 1,17 for Levante UD, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.

🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 50,8% / 23,6% / 25,6% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of RC Celta de Vigo's recent matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 67% of RC Celta de Vigo's recent matches.
  • RC Celta de Vigo relies on Borja Iglesias (14) as the La Liga top scorer.
  • Levante UD relies on Carlos Espí (9) as the La Liga top scorer.

🏁 Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: RC Celta de Vigo has a 50,8% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (56%) and BTTS (57%) probabilities suggest an open match.

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❓ Frequently asked questions

When is RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD played? +

The RC Celta de Vigo - Levante UD match is scheduled for tisdag maj 12, 2026 at 17:00 in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between RC Celta de Vigo and Levante UD? +

Our AI Predictor picks RC Celta de Vigo as the favorite with a 50,8% win probability. Full odds: 50,8% for Celta, 23,6% draw, 25,6% for Levante.

What is the most likely score for RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,75 for RC Celta de Vigo and 1,17 for Levante UD.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 56% for this RC Celta de Vigo - Levante UD fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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