Ligue 1 · Matchday 31
Sammanfattning Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre
📅 lördag april 25, 2026 ⏰ 13:00 Match finished
Final score
3 – 2
The Olympique Lyonnais - AJ Auxerre match ended 3-2. Our AI prediction gave 54,7% for a Olympique Lyon win, 25,0% for a draw, and 20,3% for Auxerre.
On lördag april 25, 2026, Olympique Lyonnais and AJ Auxerre face off in the Ligue 1. Talacote's AI Predictor ran this match through Poisson, <a class="tc-glossary-link" href="https://talacote.com/sv/ordlista/#elo" title="Definition : ELO">ELO</a>, and <a class="tc-glossary-link" href="https://talacote.com/sv/ordlista/#dixon-coles" title="Definition : Dixon-Coles">Dixon-Coles</a> models: our forecast gives Olympique Lyonnais a slight <a class="tc-glossary-link" href="https://talacote.com/sv/ordlista/#edge" title="Definition : edge">edge</a>.
For Olympique Lyonnais (54 pts on the board, 4 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. AJ Auxerre (25 pts, 16) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.
Key takeaways
- 📊 League gap: Olympique Lyonnais (4th) vs AJ Auxerre (16th)
- 🗓️ Matchday 31, Ligue 1
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Olympique Lyon (54,7%, Odds 1,92)
✅ Correct prediction
| Stake | Total return | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| 10 $ | 19,20 $ | +9,20 $ |
| 50 $ | 96,00 $ | +46,00 $ |
| 100 $ | 192,00 $ | +92,00 $ |
League standings
📊 Our analysis
The table gap between Olympique Lyonnais (4 place) and AJ Auxerre (16 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Olympique Lyonnais. Expected goals are 1,61 for Olympique Lyon and 0,87 for Auxerre, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 54,7% / 25,0% / 20,3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0.
🏁 Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Olympique Lyonnais win (54,7%) with a typical scoreline of 1-0. Worth noting the 45% Over 2.5 reading and the 46% BTTS — two markets to study.
Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre played? +
The Olympique Lyonnais - AJ Auxerre match is scheduled for lördag april 25, 2026 at 13:00 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Olympique Lyonnais and AJ Auxerre? +
Our AI Predictor picks Olympique Lyonnais as the favorite with a 54,7% win probability. Full odds: 54,7% for Olympique Lyon, 25,0% draw, 20,3% for Auxerre.
What is the most likely score for Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-0, with expected goals (xG) of 1,61 for Olympique Lyonnais and 0,87 for AJ Auxerre.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 45% for this Olympique Lyonnais - AJ Auxerre fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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