La Liga · Matchday 36
Прогноз Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol
📅 Четверг 14 мая, 2026 ⏰ 18:00
Wide-open match this Четверг 14 мая, 2026: Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Our AI Predictor returns a tight distribution (39,2% / 24,6% / 36,3%) — typical of the situations where value-bet analysis pays off. Breakdown below.
Girona FC (rank 16, 38 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Real Sociedad de Fútbol (rank 9, 43 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 36, La Liga
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Girona FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-06
- 2026-04-10
- 2026-04-21
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-01
Girona FC arrives with a 1W/1D/4L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0,83 goal(s) on average and conceding 1,33. Over 2.5 goals at 33%, BTTS at 50%.
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-20
- 2026-04-04
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-22
- 2026-04-26
- 2026-05-04
Real Sociedad de Fútbol arrives with a 1W/2D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1,50 goal(s) on average and conceding 1,83. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-2 Girona FC | Primera Division |
| 2025-05-18 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3-2 Girona FC | Primera Division |
| 2024-10-19 | Girona FC 0-1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol | Primera Division |
| 2024-02-03 | Girona FC 0-0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol | Primera Division |
| 2023-08-12 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-1 Girona FC | Primera Division |
📊 Our analysis
Historical data and current form converge for this match. Girona FC (form: –) meets Real Sociedad de Fútbol (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 56% and a BTTS of 59% — interesting markets for value bettors.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 39,2% / 24,6% / 36,3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🏁 Our verdict
Our AI's verdict: Girona FC has a 39,2% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (56%) and BTTS (59%) probabilities suggest an open match.
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Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol played? +
The Girona FC - Real Sociedad de Fútbol match is scheduled for Четверг 14 мая, 2026 at 18:00 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Girona FC and Real Sociedad de Fútbol? +
Our AI Predictor picks Girona FC as the favorite with a 39,2% win probability. Full odds: 39,2% for Girona, 24,6% draw, 36,3% for Real Sociedad.
What is the most likely score for Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,51 for Girona FC and 1,44 for Real Sociedad de Fútbol.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 56% for this Girona FC - Real Sociedad de Fútbol fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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