Ligue 1 · Matchday 31
Resumo Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC
📅 Sábado Abril 25, 2026 ⏰ 19:05 Match finished
Final score
2 – 2
The Toulouse FC - AS Monaco FC match ended 2-2. Our AI prediction gave 41,6% for a Toulouse win, 23,7% for a draw, and 34,7% for Monaco.
Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC: one of those matches where the AI refuses to call. Probabilities: 41,6% / 23,7% / 34,7%. For bettors, this odds shape often signals a value-bet opportunity — here's why.
Toulouse FC (12 in the Ligue 1, 37 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. AS Monaco FC (7, 50 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🗓️ Matchday 31, Ligue 1
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Toulouse (41,6%, Odds 2,53)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
Try Premium for all predictions →League standings
📊 Our analysis
The table gap between Toulouse FC (12 place) and AS Monaco FC (7 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Toulouse FC. Expected goals are 1,65 for Toulouse and 1,49 for Monaco, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 41,6% / 23,7% / 34,7% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🏁 Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Toulouse FC win (41,6%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 60% Over 2.5 reading and the 62% BTTS — two markets to study.
Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC played? +
The Toulouse FC - AS Monaco FC match is scheduled for Sábado Abril 25, 2026 at 19:05 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Toulouse FC and AS Monaco FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Toulouse FC as the favorite with a 41,6% win probability. Full odds: 41,6% for Toulouse, 23,7% draw, 34,7% for Monaco.
What is the most likely score for Toulouse FC vs AS Monaco FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,65 for Toulouse FC and 1,49 for AS Monaco FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 60% for this Toulouse FC - AS Monaco FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Acesso vitalício — pagamento único, nunca uma subscrição
Unlock all predictions