Premier League · Matchday 35
Resumo Chelsea FC vs Nottingham Forest FC
📅 Segunda-feira Maio 4, 2026 ⏰ 14:00 Match finished
Final score
1 – 3
The Chelsea FC - Nottingham Forest FC match ended 1-3. Our AI prediction gave 48,0% for a Chelsea win, 24,3% for a draw, and 27,7% for Nottingham.
Our AI Predictor examined the Premier League clash Chelsea FC vs Nottingham Forest FC. Verdict: Chelsea FC carries a 48,0% chance of winning. Full breakdown below.
Chelsea FC (rank 9, 48 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Nottingham Forest FC (rank 16, 39 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Premier League fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Chelsea FC: João Pedro (14)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Nottingham Forest FC: Morgan Gibbs-White (13)
- ⚽ Nottingham Forest FC scores heavily: 2.5 goals/match average over last 6
- 🗓️ Matchday 35, Premier League
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
💸 Replay: if you had followed our prediction
Our AI said: Chelsea (48,0%, Odds 2,20)
❌ Missed prediction
Losing bet.
Try Premium for all predictions →League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Chelsea FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-14
- 2026-03-17
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-21
⚽ Top scorer : João Pedro (14)
Chelsea FC arrives with a 0W/0D/6L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0,00 goal(s) on average and conceding 2,33. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 0%.
Nottingham Forest FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-04
- 2026-03-15
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-19
- 2026-04-24
⚽ Top scorer : Morgan Gibbs-White (13)
Nottingham Forest FC arrives with a 3W/3D/0L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 2,50 goal(s) on average and conceding 0,67. Over 2.5 goals at 67%, BTTS at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Nottingham Forest FC 0-3 Chelsea FC | Premier League |
| 2025-05-25 | Nottingham Forest FC 0-1 Chelsea FC | Premier League |
| 2024-10-06 | Chelsea FC 1-1 Nottingham Forest FC | Premier League |
| 2024-05-11 | Nottingham Forest FC 2-3 Chelsea FC | Premier League |
| 2023-09-02 | Chelsea FC 0-1 Nottingham Forest FC | Premier League |
📊 Our analysis
Statistically, Chelsea FC (9 place, 48 pts) hosts Nottingham Forest FC (16 place, 39 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Chelsea FC and – for Nottingham Forest FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1,66 for Chelsea FC versus 1,20 for Nottingham Forest FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 48,0% / 24,3% / 27,7% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Chelsea FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Nottingham Forest FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Chelsea FC relies on João Pedro (14) as the Premier League top scorer.
- ▸ Nottingham Forest FC relies on Morgan Gibbs-White (13) as the Premier League top scorer.
🏁 Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Chelsea FC win (48,0%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 54% Over 2.5 reading and the 56% BTTS — two markets to study.
Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Chelsea FC vs Nottingham Forest FC played? +
The Chelsea FC - Nottingham Forest FC match is scheduled for Segunda-feira Maio 4, 2026 at 14:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Chelsea FC and Nottingham Forest FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Chelsea FC as the favorite with a 48,0% win probability. Full odds: 48,0% for Chelsea, 24,3% draw, 27,7% for Nottingham.
What is the most likely score for Chelsea FC vs Nottingham Forest FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,66 for Chelsea FC and 1,20 for Nottingham Forest FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 54% for this Chelsea FC - Nottingham Forest FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Acesso vitalício — pagamento único, nunca uma subscrição
Unlock all predictions