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⚠️ Statistische voorspelling — geen gegarandeerd-winstsysteem. Kansen berekend via Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles op openbare gegevens.  ·  Bekijk methodologie  ·  Verantwoord gokken

Premier League · Matchday 38

Voorspelling Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC

📅 zondag mei 24, 2026 ⏰ 15:00

Uncertain match expected on zondag mei 24, 2026 between Sunderland AFC and Chelsea FC. Our algorithm returns very close probabilities (38,1% / 25,6% / 36,3%), reflecting an evenly-matched duel on paper and in recent form.

Sunderland AFC (12 in the Premier League, 47 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Chelsea FC (9, 48 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.

Key takeaways

  • 📊 Tight standings: Sunderland AFC (12th) and Chelsea FC (9th) within 1 pts
  • 🗓️ Matchday 38, Premier League

🤖 AI Predictor Forecast

Sunderland wins
38,1%
Draw
25,6%
Chelsea wins
36,3%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
56%
Expected goals (xG)
1,40 - 1,36

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League standings

Sunderland AFC
12 (47 pts)
Chelsea FC
9 (48 pts)

📊 Our analysis

Statistically, Sunderland AFC (12 place, 47 pts) hosts Chelsea FC (9 place, 48 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Sunderland AFC and – for Chelsea FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1,40 for Sunderland AFC versus 1,36 for Chelsea FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.

🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 38,1% / 25,6% / 36,3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

🏁 Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: Sunderland AFC has a 38,1% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (52%) and BTTS (56%) probabilities suggest an open match.

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❓ Frequently asked questions

When is Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC played? +

The Sunderland AFC - Chelsea FC match is scheduled for zondag mei 24, 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.

Who is the favorite between Sunderland AFC and Chelsea FC? +

Our AI Predictor picks Sunderland AFC as the favorite with a 38,1% win probability. Full odds: 38,1% for Sunderland, 25,6% draw, 36,3% for Chelsea.

What is the most likely score for Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea FC? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,40 for Sunderland AFC and 1,36 for Chelsea FC.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 52% for this Sunderland AFC - Chelsea FC fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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