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La Liga · Matchday 36

Voorspelling RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Athletic Club

📅 woensdag mei 13, 2026 ⏰ 17:00

Balanced fixture for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona - Athletic Club on woensdag mei 13, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 41,8% home, 25,5% draw, 32,7% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (13 in the La Liga, 39 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Athletic Club (8, 44 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.

Key takeaways

  • 🗓️ Matchday 36, La Liga

🤖 AI Predictor Forecast

Espanyol wins
41,8%
Draw
25,5%
Athletic wins
32,7%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
55%
Expected goals (xG)
1,47 - 1,27

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League standings

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
13 (39 pts)
Athletic Club
8 (44 pts)

📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L D L L D L
0/6
W
2/6
D
4/6
L
Goals scored/match 0,33
Goals conceded/match 1,50
Both teams to score 33%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-03-21 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-2 Getafe CF
  • 2026-04-04 Real Betis Balompié 0-0 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
  • 2026-04-11 FC Barcelona 4-1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
  • 2026-04-23 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-0 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
  • 2026-04-27 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-05-03 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-2 Real Madrid CF

Recent record for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 0W-2D-4L over the last 6 matches. 0,33 goal(s) scored on average vs 1,50 conceded. BTTS observed at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%.

Athletic Club

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

W L L W L W
3/6
W
0/6
D
3/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,67
Goals conceded/match 1,67
Both teams to score 67%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
  • 2026-03-22 Athletic Club 2-1 Real Betis Balompié
  • 2026-04-05 Getafe CF 2-0 Athletic Club
  • 2026-04-12 Athletic Club 1-2 Villarreal CF
  • 2026-04-21 Athletic Club 1-0 CA Osasuna
  • 2026-04-25 Club Atlético de Madrid 3-2 Athletic Club
  • 2026-05-02 Deportivo Alavés 2-4 Athletic Club

Recent record for Athletic Club: 3W-0D-3L over the last 6 matches. 1,67 goal(s) scored on average vs 1,67 conceded. BTTS observed at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2025-12-22 Athletic Club 1-2 RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaPrimera Division
2025-02-16 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-1 Athletic ClubPrimera Division
2024-10-19 Athletic Club 4-1 RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaPrimera Division
2023-04-08 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-2 Athletic ClubPrimera Division

📊 Our analysis

Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (39 pts vs 44 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1,47 vs 1,27). The <a class="tc-glossary-link" href="https://talacote.com/nl/woordenlijst/#dixon-coles" title="Definitie : Dixon-Coles">Dixon-Coles</a> model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 41,8% probability of a RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win.

🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 41,8% / 25,5% / 32,7% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

🏁 Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona has a 41,8% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (52%) and BTTS (55%) probabilities suggest an open match.

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❓ Frequently asked questions

When is RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Athletic Club played? +

The RCD Espanyol de Barcelona - Athletic Club match is scheduled for woensdag mei 13, 2026 at 17:00 in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and Athletic Club? +

Our AI Predictor picks RCD Espanyol de Barcelona as the favorite with a 41,8% win probability. Full odds: 41,8% for Espanyol, 25,5% draw, 32,7% for Athletic.

What is the most likely score for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Athletic Club? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,47 for RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and 1,27 for Athletic Club.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 52% for this RCD Espanyol de Barcelona - Athletic Club fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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