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⚠️ Statistische voorspelling — geen gegarandeerd-winstsysteem. Kansen berekend via Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles op openbare gegevens.  ·  Bekijk methodologie  ·  Verantwoord gokken

La Liga · Matchday 36

Voorspelling Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol

📅 donderdag mei 14, 2026 ⏰ 18:00

Wide-open match this donderdag mei 14, 2026: Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Our AI Predictor returns a tight distribution (39,2% / 24,6% / 36,3%) — typical of the situations where value-bet analysis pays off. Breakdown below.

Girona FC (rank 16, 38 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Real Sociedad de Fútbol (rank 9, 43 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this La Liga fixture.

Key takeaways

  • 🗓️ Matchday 36, La Liga

🤖 AI Predictor Forecast

Girona wins
39,2%
Draw
24,6%
Real Sociedad wins
36,3%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
59%
Expected goals (xG)
1,51 - 1,44

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League standings

Girona FC
16 (38 pts)
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
9 (43 pts)

📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Girona FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L W D L L L
1/6
W
1/6
D
4/6
L
Goals scored/match 0,83
Goals conceded/match 1,33
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 33%
  • 2026-03-21 CA Osasuna 1-0 Girona FC
  • 2026-04-06 Girona FC 1-0 Villarreal CF
  • 2026-04-10 Real Madrid CF 1-1 Girona FC
  • 2026-04-21 Girona FC 2-3 Real Betis Balompié
  • 2026-04-25 Valencia CF 2-1 Girona FC
  • 2026-05-01 Girona FC 0-1 RCD Mallorca

Girona FC arrives with a 1W/1D/4L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 0,83 goal(s) on average and conceding 1,33. Over 2.5 goals at 33%, BTTS at 50%.

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L W D L D L
1/6
W
2/6
D
3/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,50
Goals conceded/match 1,83
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-03-20 Villarreal CF 3-1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol
  • 2026-04-04 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-0 Levante UD
  • 2026-04-11 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3-3 Deportivo Alavés
  • 2026-04-22 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 0-1 Getafe CF
  • 2026-04-26 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3-3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol
  • 2026-05-04 Sevilla FC 1-0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Real Sociedad de Fútbol arrives with a 1W/2D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1,50 goal(s) on average and conceding 1,83. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2025-12-12 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-2 Girona FCPrimera Division
2025-05-18 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3-2 Girona FCPrimera Division
2024-10-19 Girona FC 0-1 Real Sociedad de FútbolPrimera Division
2024-02-03 Girona FC 0-0 Real Sociedad de FútbolPrimera Division
2023-08-12 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-1 Girona FCPrimera Division

📊 Our analysis

Historical data and current form converge for this match. Girona FC (form: –) meets Real Sociedad de Fútbol (form: –). The ELO algorithm adjusts implied odds and surfaces an Over 2.5 goals probability of 56% and a BTTS of 59% — interesting markets for value bettors.

🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction

The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 39,2% / 24,6% / 36,3% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.

🏁 Our verdict

Our AI's verdict: Girona FC has a 39,2% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. The Over 2.5 (56%) and BTTS (59%) probabilities suggest an open match.

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❓ Frequently asked questions

When is Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol played? +

The Girona FC - Real Sociedad de Fútbol match is scheduled for donderdag mei 14, 2026 at 18:00 in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between Girona FC and Real Sociedad de Fútbol? +

Our AI Predictor picks Girona FC as the favorite with a 39,2% win probability. Full odds: 39,2% for Girona, 24,6% draw, 36,3% for Real Sociedad.

What is the most likely score for Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,51 for Girona FC and 1,44 for Real Sociedad de Fútbol.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 56% for this Girona FC - Real Sociedad de Fútbol fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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