La Liga · Matchday 36
Voorspelling Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona
📅 woensdag mei 13, 2026 ⏰ 19:30
Deportivo Alavés hosts FC Barcelona on woensdag mei 13, 2026 as the underdog. Our AI Predictor gives the visitors a 55,4% win probability against just 22,9% for the home side. Skill gap, standings, and recent form converge — full analysis below.
Deportivo Alavés (18 in the La Liga, 36 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. FC Barcelona (1, 88 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Deportivo Alavés: Toni Martínez (11)
- 🎯 Key scorer for FC Barcelona: Lamine Yamal (16)
- 📊 League gap: FC Barcelona (1th) vs Deportivo Alavés (18th)
- ⚽ Deportivo Alavés scores heavily: 2.33 goals/match average over last 6
- 🎯 Both teams scored in 100% of Deportivo Alavés's recent matches
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 100% of Deportivo Alavés's recent matches
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
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League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Deportivo Alavés
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-05
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-21
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-02
⚽ Top scorer : Toni Martínez (11)
Recent record for Deportivo Alavés: 2W-2D-2L over the last 6 matches. 2,33 goal(s) scored on average vs 2,50 conceded. BTTS observed at 100%, Over 2.5 at 100%.
FC Barcelona
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-04-08
- 2026-04-11
- 2026-04-14
- 2026-04-22
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-02
⚽ Top scorer : Lamine Yamal (16)
Recent record for FC Barcelona: 5W-0D-1L over the last 6 matches. 1,83 goal(s) scored on average vs 0,83 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | FC Barcelona 3-1 Deportivo Alavés | Primera Division |
| 2025-02-02 | FC Barcelona 1-0 Deportivo Alavés | Primera Division |
| 2024-10-06 | Deportivo Alavés 0-3 FC Barcelona | Primera Division |
| 2024-02-03 | Deportivo Alavés 1-3 FC Barcelona | Primera Division |
| 2023-11-12 | FC Barcelona 2-1 Deportivo Alavés | Primera Division |
📊 Our analysis
The table gap between Deportivo Alavés (18 place) and FC Barcelona (1 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in FC Barcelona. Expected goals are 1,20 for Alavés and 1,98 for Barça, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 22,9% / 21,8% / 55,4% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ FC Barcelona sits at the top of La Liga with 88 pts.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 100% of Deportivo Alavés's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 100% of Deportivo Alavés's recent matches.
- ▸ Deportivo Alavés relies on Toni Martínez (11) as the La Liga top scorer.
- ▸ FC Barcelona relies on Lamine Yamal (16) as the La Liga top scorer.
🏁 Our verdict
Final prediction: edge to FC Barcelona (55,4% win probability) with a 1-1 projection. The goals market (Over 2.5 at 61%, BTTS at 60%) remains the other interesting angle on this match.
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Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona played? +
The Deportivo Alavés - FC Barcelona match is scheduled for woensdag mei 13, 2026 at 19:30 in the La Liga.
Who is the favorite between Deportivo Alavés and FC Barcelona? +
Our AI Predictor picks FC Barcelona as the favorite with a 55,4% win probability. Full odds: 22,9% for Alavés, 21,8% draw, 55,4% for Barça.
What is the most likely score for Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,20 for Deportivo Alavés and 1,98 for FC Barcelona.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 61% for this Deportivo Alavés - FC Barcelona fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
Levenslange toegang — eenmalige betaling, nooit een abonnement
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