Ligue 1 · Matchday 33
予想 Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais
📅 dimanche mai 10, 2026 ⏰ 19:00
Balanced fixture for Toulouse FC - Olympique Lyonnais on dimanche mai 10, 2026. No clear AI favorite: 37,0% home, 25,0% draw, 38,0% away. Statistical details settle the duel on the margins.
Toulouse FC (rank 10, 41 pts) is looking to string together strong results against Olympique Lyonnais (rank 3, 60 pts). Motivation and momentum will weigh as much as raw stats in this Ligue 1 fixture.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Toulouse FC: Yann Gboho (8)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Olympique Lyonnais: Pavel Šulc (10)
- 📈 Over 2.5 goals in 83% of Toulouse FC's recent matches
- 🗓️ Matchday 33, Ligue 1
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
🧮 Simulate your bet on this match
Pick your bet
💡 This simulation uses 1 of 3 AI algorithms. Premium unlocks all 3 for sharper predictions.
League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Toulouse FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-15
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-03
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-17
- 2026-04-25
⚽ Top scorer : Yann Gboho (8)
Toulouse FC arrives with a 2W/1D/3L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1,67 goal(s) on average and conceding 2,50. Over 2.5 goals at 83%, BTTS at 67%.
Olympique Lyonnais
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-15
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-05
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-19
- 2026-04-25
⚽ Top scorer : Pavel Šulc (10)
Olympique Lyonnais arrives with a 3W/2D/1L record over its last 6 matches, scoring 1,33 goal(s) on average and conceding 0,83. Over 2.5 goals at 50%, BTTS at 50%.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Olympique Lyonnais 1-2 Toulouse FC | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Olympique Lyonnais 0-0 Toulouse FC | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Toulouse FC 1-2 Olympique Lyonnais | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-15 | Toulouse FC 2-3 Olympique Lyonnais | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-10 | Olympique Lyonnais 3-0 Toulouse FC | Ligue 1 |
📊 Our analysis
Our analysis cross-references several indicators: standings (41 pts vs 60 pts), current dynamics (form – vs –), and computed xG (1,42 vs 1,44). The Dixon-Coles model, especially suited to asymmetric matches, returns a 37,0% probability of a Toulouse FC win.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 37,0% / 25,0% / 38,0% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Olympique Lyonnais is in the top 3 of Ligue 1 (3, 60 pts).
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 83% of Toulouse FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Both teams have scored in 67% of Toulouse FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Toulouse FC relies on Yann Gboho (8) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
- ▸ Olympique Lyonnais relies on Pavel Šulc (10) as the Ligue 1 top scorer.
🏁 Our verdict
In short, Olympique Lyonnais stands as our algorithm's favourite at 38,0%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (54%) and BTTS (58%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.
Want sharper predictions? Talacote Premium unlocks all 3 AI algorithms and grants access to 10,000+ analyzed matches. One-time payment $7.99, unlimited lifetime access.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais played? +
The Toulouse FC - Olympique Lyonnais match is scheduled for dimanche mai 10, 2026 at 19:00 in the Ligue 1.
Who is the favorite between Toulouse FC and Olympique Lyonnais? +
Our AI Predictor picks Olympique Lyonnais as the favorite with a 38,0% win probability. Full odds: 37,0% for Toulouse, 25,0% draw, 38,0% for Olympique Lyon.
What is the most likely score for Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,42 for Toulouse FC and 1,44 for Olympique Lyonnais.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 54% for this Toulouse FC - Olympique Lyonnais fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
生涯アクセス — 一度払い、サブスクリプションなし
Unlock all predictions