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統計的予測 — 確実な勝利システムではありません。 Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Colesにより公開データで計算された確率。  ·  方法論を見る  ·  責任あるギャンブル

Premier League · Matchday 38

予想 Liverpool FC vs Brentford FC

dimanche mai 24, 2026 15:00

Liverpool FC hosts Brentford FC this dimanche at 15:00 in the Premier League. According to our AI, Liverpool FC approaches this match as the statistical favorite.

Liverpool FC (4 in the Premier League, 58 pts) faces this match as a benchmark test on home soil. Brentford FC (7, 51 pts) needs to confirm its standing to avoid letting the gap widen down the stretch.

Key takeaways

  • 🎯 Key scorer for Liverpool FC: Hugo Ekitike (11)
  • 🎯 Key scorer for Brentford FC: Thiago Rodrigues (22)
  • 📊 Tight standings: Liverpool FC (4th) and Brentford FC (7th) within 7 pts
  • 🗓️ Matchday 38, Premier League

AI Predictor Forecast

Liverpool wins
47,3%
Draw
23,5%
Brentford wins
29,2%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
60%
Expected goals (xG)
1,74 - 1,32

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League standings

Liverpool FC
4 (59 pts)
Brentford FC
8 (51 pts)

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

Liverpool FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

L W L W W L
3/6
W
0/6
D
3/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,50
Goals conceded/match 1,50
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
  • 2026-04-08 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2-0 Liverpool FC
  • 2026-04-11 Liverpool FC 2-0 Fulham FC
  • 2026-04-14 Liverpool FC 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain FC
  • 2026-04-19 Everton FC 1-2 Liverpool FC
  • 2026-04-25 Liverpool FC 3-1 Crystal Palace FC
  • 2026-05-03 Manchester United FC 3-2 Liverpool FC

⚽ Top scorer : Hugo Ekitike (11)

Recent record for Liverpool FC: 3W-0D-3L over the last 6 matches. 1,50 goal(s) scored on average vs 1,50 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%.

Brentford FC

Recent form details (last 6 matches)

D D D D L W
1/6
W
4/6
D
1/6
L
Goals scored/match 1,33
Goals conceded/match 1,00
Both teams to score 50%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
  • 2026-03-16 Brentford FC 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
  • 2026-03-21 Leeds United FC 0-0 Brentford FC
  • 2026-04-11 Brentford FC 2-2 Everton FC
  • 2026-04-18 Brentford FC 0-0 Fulham FC
  • 2026-04-27 Manchester United FC 2-1 Brentford FC
  • 2026-05-02 Brentford FC 3-0 West Ham United FC

⚽ Top scorer : Thiago Rodrigues (22)

Recent record for Brentford FC: 1W-4D-1L over the last 6 matches. 1,33 goal(s) scored on average vs 1,00 conceded. BTTS observed at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%.

⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)

DateMatchCompetition
2025-10-25 Brentford FC 3-2 Liverpool FCPremier League
2025-01-18 Brentford FC 0-2 Liverpool FCPremier League
2024-08-25 Liverpool FC 2-0 Brentford FCPremier League
2024-02-17 Brentford FC 1-4 Liverpool FCPremier League
2023-11-12 Liverpool FC 3-0 Brentford FCPremier League

Our analysis

Statistically, Liverpool FC (4 place, 58 pts) hosts Brentford FC (7 place, 51 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Liverpool FC and – for Brentford FC) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1,73 for Liverpool FC versus 1,34 for Brentford FC, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.

How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), ELO (relative team strength), and Dixon-Coles (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 46,4% Liverpool win, 23,6% draw, 30,0% Brentford win.

🎯 Key takeaways

  • Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Brentford FC's recent matches.
  • Liverpool FC relies on Hugo Ekitike (11) as the Premier League top scorer.
  • Brentford FC relies on Thiago Rodrigues (22) as the Premier League top scorer.

Our verdict

In short, Liverpool FC stands as our algorithm's favourite at 46,4%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (59%) and BTTS (61%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Frequently asked questions

When is Liverpool FC vs Brentford FC played? +

The Liverpool FC - Brentford FC match is scheduled for dimanche mai 24, 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.

Who is the favorite between Liverpool FC and Brentford FC? +

Our AI Predictor picks Liverpool FC as the favorite with a 46,4% win probability. Full odds: 46,4% for Liverpool, 23,6% draw, 30,0% for Brentford.

What is the most likely score for Liverpool FC vs Brentford FC? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,73 for Liverpool FC and 1,34 for Brentford FC.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 59% for this Liverpool FC - Brentford FC fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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