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無料スポーツベッティングシミュレーター:AI予想&利益計算 — Talacote
⚠️ 統計的予測 — 確実な勝利システムではありません。 Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Colesにより公開データで計算された確率。  ·  方法論を見る  ·  責任あるギャンブル

La Liga · Matchday 35

予想 Elche CF vs Deportivo Alavés

📅 samedi mai 9, 2026 ⏰ 12:00

Elche CF hosts Deportivo Alavés this samedi at 12:00 in the La Liga. According to our AI, Elche CF approaches this match as the statistical favorite.

For Elche CF (38 pts on the board, 14 place), it's about defending home turf and capitalising on the advantage. Deportivo Alavés (36 pts, 18) has plenty at stake: a result here can reshape the top of the table.

Key takeaways

  • 🗓️ Matchday 35, La Liga

🤖 AI Predictor Forecast

Elche wins
45,8%
Draw
24,1%
Alavés wins
30,1%
Most likely score
1-1
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
59%
Expected goals (xG)
1,66 - 1,30

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League standings

Elche CF
14 (38 pts)
Deportivo Alavés
18 (36 pts)

📊 Our analysis

Statistically, Elche CF (14 place, 38 pts) hosts Deportivo Alavés (18 place, 36 pts). Both teams' recent form (– for Elche CF and – for Deportivo Alavés) weighs heavily in our AI's calculation. With an xG of 1,66 for Elche CF versus 1,30 for Deportivo Alavés, our Poisson model projects a final score around 1-1.

🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction

Our AI combines three algorithms: Poisson (goal distribution), <a class="tc-glossary-link" href="https://talacote.com/ja/yougo/#elo" title="定義 : ELO">ELO</a> (relative team strength), and <a class="tc-glossary-link" href="https://talacote.com/ja/yougo/#dixon-coles" title="定義 : Dixon-Coles">Dixon-Coles</a> (low-score adjustment). Resulting probabilities: 45,8% Elche win, 24,1% draw, 30,1% Alavés win.

🏁 Our verdict

In short, Elche CF stands as our algorithm's favourite at 45,8%. The modelled scoreline sits around 1-1, and the Over 2.5 (57%) and BTTS (59%) indicators round out the picture for value bettors.

Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.

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❓ Frequently asked questions

When is Elche CF vs Deportivo Alavés played? +

The Elche CF - Deportivo Alavés match is scheduled for samedi mai 9, 2026 at 12:00 in the La Liga.

Who is the favorite between Elche CF and Deportivo Alavés? +

Our AI Predictor picks Elche CF as the favorite with a 45,8% win probability. Full odds: 45,8% for Elche, 24,1% draw, 30,1% for Alavés.

What is the most likely score for Elche CF vs Deportivo Alavés? +

Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,66 for Elche CF and 1,30 for Deportivo Alavés.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +

Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 57% for this Elche CF - Deportivo Alavés fixture.

How does Talacote compute this prediction? +

Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.

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