Premier League · Matchday 36
Pronostico Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Leeds United FC
📅 lunedì Maggio 11, 2026 ⏰ 19:00
Full AI analysis of Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Leeds United FC, scheduled for lunedì Maggio 11, 2026. Our algorithm calculated exact probabilities using form, standings, and historical data from both teams.
For Tottenham Hotspur FC (17), hosting Leeds United FC (14) is a chance to make a statement before the season ends. With Tottenham Hotspur FC a slight favourite per our AI, the match looks tight and pivotal for both sides.
Key takeaways
- 🎯 Key scorer for Tottenham Hotspur FC: Richarlison (10)
- 🎯 Key scorer for Leeds United FC: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (12)
- 📊 Tight standings: Tottenham Hotspur FC (17th) and Leeds United FC (14th) within 6 pts
- 🗓️ Matchday 36, Premier League
🤖 AI Predictor Forecast
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💡 This simulation uses 1 of 3 AI algorithms. Premium unlocks all 3 for sharper predictions.
League standings
📊 Recent form details (last 6 matches)
Tottenham Hotspur FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-18
- 2026-03-22
- 2026-04-12
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-25
- 2026-05-03
⚽ Top scorer : Richarlison (10)
Across its last 6 outings, Tottenham Hotspur FC has 3 wins, 1 draw(s), and 2 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1,33 goal(s)/match, defensive at 1,50. Both teams have scored in 50% of recent games.
Leeds United FC
Recent form details (last 6 matches)
- 2026-03-15
- 2026-03-21
- 2026-04-13
- 2026-04-18
- 2026-04-22
- 2026-05-01
⚽ Top scorer : Dominic Calvert-Lewin (12)
Across its last 6 outings, Leeds United FC has 3 wins, 3 draw(s), and 0 defeat(s). Offensive output sits at 1,67 goal(s)/match, defensive at 0,67. Both teams have scored in 50% of recent games.
⚔️ Head-to-head (last 5 meetings)
| Date | Match | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Leeds United FC 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC | Premier League |
| 2023-05-28 | Leeds United FC 1-4 Tottenham Hotspur FC | Premier League |
| 2022-11-12 | Tottenham Hotspur FC 4-3 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
| 2022-02-26 | Leeds United FC 0-4 Tottenham Hotspur FC | Premier League |
| 2021-11-21 | Tottenham Hotspur FC 2-1 Leeds United FC | Premier League |
📊 Our analysis
The table gap between Tottenham Hotspur FC (17 place) and Leeds United FC (14 place) partly explains our AI's confidence in Tottenham Hotspur FC. Expected goals are 1,59 for Tottenham and 1,37 for Leeds United, steering the model toward a win for the dominant side. Recent history backs this trend.
🧮 How our AI reaches this prediction
The calculation relies on average goals scored/conceded, 5-match form, and league position. Result: 42,7% / 24,4% / 32,9% for 1X2, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1.
🎯 Key takeaways
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Tottenham Hotspur FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Over 2.5 goals has hit in 67% of Leeds United FC's recent matches.
- ▸ Tottenham Hotspur FC relies on Richarlison (10) as the Premier League top scorer.
- ▸ Leeds United FC relies on Dominic Calvert-Lewin (12) as the Premier League top scorer.
🏁 Our verdict
Bottom line: our models converge on a Tottenham Hotspur FC win (42,7%) with a typical scoreline of 1-1. Worth noting the 57% Over 2.5 reading and the 59% BTTS — two markets to study.
Our AI Predictor uses 1 algorithm in the free version. Premium activates all 3 models (Poisson + ELO + Dixon-Coles) and sharpens predictions by ±8% accuracy. Lifetime access for $7.99.
Unlock all predictions❓ Frequently asked questions
When is Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Leeds United FC played? +
The Tottenham Hotspur FC - Leeds United FC match is scheduled for lunedì Maggio 11, 2026 at 19:00 in the Premier League.
Who is the favorite between Tottenham Hotspur FC and Leeds United FC? +
Our AI Predictor picks Tottenham Hotspur FC as the favorite with a 42,7% win probability. Full odds: 42,7% for Tottenham, 24,4% draw, 32,9% for Leeds United.
What is the most likely score for Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Leeds United FC? +
Our Poisson model projects a final score of 1-1, with expected goals (xG) of 1,59 for Tottenham Hotspur FC and 1,37 for Leeds United FC.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this match? +
Our AI estimates the Over 2.5 goals probability at 57% for this Tottenham Hotspur FC - Leeds United FC fixture.
How does Talacote compute this prediction? +
Our AI Predictor combines three algorithms: Poisson for goal distribution, ELO for relative team strength, and Dixon-Coles for low-score adjustment. The analysis cross-references form, standings, and historical data.
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